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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213d | Mirotadze | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,320 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 213d | diaosiyige2 fills | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,526 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d |  upont2 fills | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,077 | +$42 +0.3% | 2 |
| 213d | rockyyou | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,422 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | lnarix | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,816 | +$65 +1.1% | 2 |
| 213d | hjhiugnghu | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | +$38 +1.9% | 2 |
| 213d | lnarix2 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,706 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | hjhiugnghu | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | diaosiyige2 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $11,703 | +$59 +0.5% | 2 |
| 213d | Mizukaze | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,397 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | diaosiyige | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,923 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Thin-Print | ↓ 69,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 213d | upont | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,828 | +$53 +0.9% | 2 |
| 213d | upont2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,678 | +$106 +0.9% | 2 |
| 213d | upont | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,877 | +$24 +0.4% | 2 |
| 213d |  Tttyh | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Tttyh | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,241 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Yaod | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Tawp | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Cawi | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Xaiwe | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,081 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Yaia | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Kaies | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | bean125 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,078 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | onemachine | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | onemachine | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,432 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d |  TTokin | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | TTokin | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Thin-Print | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$48 +0.8% | 2 |
| 213d | Candela | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | JohnnyBravo1 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,276 | −$1,276 −100% | 4 |
| 213d | bean125 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,915 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | charlie2026 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,092 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 213d | Mirotadze | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$52 +4.1% | 2 |
| 214d | Thin-Print | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$38 +3.0% | 2 |
| 214d | Thin-Print | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,293 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 214d |  chenandyk | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,046 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 214d | patternrecovery | ↓ 73,000 | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,941 | −$1,941 −100% | 5 |
| 214d | Funboyboy3 fills | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,024 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 214d | Thin-Print | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$40 +2.6% | 2 |
| 214d | patternrecovery | ↓ 72,000 | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $2,932 | −$2,932 −100% | 8 |
| 214d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,999 | +$96 +1.9% | 2 |
| 214d | biffupper | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,551 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 214d | Funboyboy3 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,042 | +$156 +0.6% | 2 |
| 214d |  MarilynManson | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,193 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 214d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$77 +7.5% | 3 |
| 214d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,878 | +$120 +4.2% | 2 |
| 214d | Attentive-Silica | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$76 +7.5% | 3 |
| 214d | Funboyboy | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$23 +0.9% | 2 |
| 214d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$32 +2.4% | 2 |
| 214d | Attentive-Silica | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,015 | +$84 +4.2% | 2 |
| 214d | C03B | ↓ 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,328 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on March 17?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.