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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224d |  bamesjond | ↓ 67,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 224d | rockyyou | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,176 | +$71 +1.4% | 2 |
| 224d | fshtsdgdsb | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,155 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | bean125 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,103 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | Xaiwe | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | Cawi | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | Yaia | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | Kaies | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,061 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | SDDUTRA | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,592 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d |  Quittingfrnow1 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 224d | Flatten9696 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,627 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | ↓ 68,000 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $4,335 | +$2,475 +57% | 6 |
| 224d | bamesjond | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,575 | −$1,575 −100% | 5 |
| 224d | bamesjond | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$660 +28% | 3 |
| 225d | bamesjond | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | +$213 +7.6% | 2 |
| 225d |  Melqui2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,163 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | pelik2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,096 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | twistedtimelime | ↓ 68,000 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$804 +56% | 4 |
| 225d | Lukyyyyyyy2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,983 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 225d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$198 +11% | 3 |
| 225d | pelik | ↓ 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,991 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 225d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,089 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
bamesjond8,513 shares
Mrinfinity13371,000 shares
bjprolo120 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on March 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 68,000 means the market gives it about 100%.