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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4300–$4400 | 100% | +40 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$4000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4100–$4200 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4200–$4300 | 0% | −8 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4400–$4500 | 0% | −7 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4500–$4600 | 0% | −1 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4600–$4700 | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4700–$4800 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$5000 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4000-4100 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4800-$4900 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4900-$5000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  FTX2.0 | $4300–$4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $22,312 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | asalehi | $4500–$4600 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,292 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | MovingForward | $4300–$4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,271 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 289d |  xiaoxic | $4300–$4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,103 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | ThunderDoge | $4300–$4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,497 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | Coordinated-Leather | $4200–$4300 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,089 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 289d | sybaujustbet | $4300–$4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,266 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 289d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $4500–$4600 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,790 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | zxzxzxzx | $4300–$4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,997 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 289d | tormenta26 | $4300–$4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,248 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 289d | claudecoder34 | $4400–$4500 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,066 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | ExDeus | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,550 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,718 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | Gourdin | <$4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,286 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 289d |  daas77 | <$4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,537 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 289d | rated5 fills | $4100–$4200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,218 | +$14 +0.3% | 4 |
| 289d | rated3 fills | <$4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,143 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 289d | soflo | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$24 +2.2% | 4 |
| 289d | Tooja | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,696 | +$81 +2.2% | 4 |
| 289d |  richardhabanero | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$79 +6.6% | 4 |
| 289d |  flow-trader-at-optiver4 fills | $4200–$4300 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,092 | +$110 +2.2% | 4 |
| 289d | tusm | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | +$75 +3.8% | 4 |
| 289d | flow-trader-at-optiver2 fills | $4400–$4500 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | +$237 +9.4% | 5 |
| 289d | ExDeus | $4700–$4800 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d |  Official-Market-Maker | $4400–$4500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 289d | MovingForward | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,108 | +$136 +4.4% | 4 |
| 289d | bruhtradfdddd | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$70 +6.2% | 4 |
| 289d | lontou | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | +$110 +7.5% | 4 |
| 289d | sybaujustbet | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$62 +5.1% | 4 |
| 290d | azadehas2 fills | $4100–$4200 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
| 290d | CHIB666 | $4200–$4300 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,834 | +$223 +5.8% | 4 |
| 290d | Coordinated-Leather | $4200–$4300 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$66 +5.8% | 4 |
| 290d |  uncleroger | $4400–$4500 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | +$51 +2.6% | 4 |
| 290d | 0x9bdd…6da4 | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$185 +18% | 4 |
| 290d | Albert 1953 | $4400–$4500 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,732 | −$227 −8.3% | — |
| 290d | PanosMariolis2001 | $4200–$4300 | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,208 | +$1,208 +100% | — |
| 290d | iscaster2 | $4100–$4200 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$17 +1.3% | 4 |
| 290d | sagishi | <$4000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,176 | −$31 −0.5% | — |
| 290d | sagishi | <$4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,100 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | shuxingxing11 | $4600–$4700 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,060 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 290d | Virtuousadventure | $4300–$4400 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | −$1,118 −82% | — |
| 290d |  Loser229 | $4400–$4500 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$111 +9.1% | 4 |
| 290d | sunwuk | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,337 | +$813 +35% | 4 |
| 290d | dayuzs | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,816 | +$984 +35% | 4 |
| 290d |  loser-star | <$4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,296 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d | bailma | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$970 +34% | 4 |
| 290d | Houdray2 fills | <$4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,601 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 290d | rated | $4600–$4700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | Virtuousadventure | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$512 +26% | 4 |
| 290d | Zesty-Mall | $4300–$4400 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | −$864 −44% | — |
| 290d | sollanboy | $4300–$4400 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | −$574 −45% | — |
| 290d | madkkee | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | +$1,472 +43% | 14 |
| 290d |  MankPredict | $4100–$4200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,593 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 291d | RochyRD | $4600–$4700 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 291d |  lasiweijiasi2 fills | $4600–$4700 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,290 | +$29 +0.7% | 4 |
| 291d |  DaytonaOne | <$4000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,469 | +$32 +0.4% | 4 |
| 291d | claudecoder34 | $4400–$4500 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$717 +57% | 12 |
| 291d |  prescient | >$5000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 291d | FTX2.02 fills | $4300–$4400 | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $2,642 | +$4,365 +165% | 6 |
| 291d | Wordy-Bratwurst | $4400–$4500 | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | −$855 −49% | — |
szming88810 sharesThis market will resolve based on the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) as of the final market close price in 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $4300–$4400 means the market gives it about 100%.