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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $450 | 0% | −6 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $435 | 100% | +74 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $390 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $405 | 100% | +18 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $465 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $480 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $375 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $360 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $495 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $330 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $345 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $510 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $525 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $420 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140d |  jesterthegoose | ↑ $450 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,801 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 140d | calami | ↑ $450 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,447 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 140d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $450 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,464 | −$69 −1.5% | — |
| 140d |  Flat-Waterskiing | ↑ $450 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 140d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | ↑ $450 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,057 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 140d | Flat-Waterskiing | ↑ $450 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$46 +4.2% | 5 |
| 140d |  thanksforplayin2 fills | ↑ $450 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,873 | +$421 +6.1% | 5 |
| 140d |  HorribleWork | ↑ $450 | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,510 | +$2,510 +100% | — |
| 140d | Rock.San | ↑ $450 | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,116 | −$2,116 −100% | 9 |
| 140d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↓ $390 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,094 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 141d | CamelUp2 fills | ↑ $450 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,112 | +$1,199 +23% | 7 |
| 141d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $435 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,441 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 141d | HorribleWork2 fills | ↑ $480 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,439 | +$66 +2.7% | 4 |
| 141d | cryptoincome | ↑ $495 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,476 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d | CamelUp | ↓ $390 | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$1,026 +73% | 4 |
MaxiChibrax9,574 sharesHorribleWork3,800 sharesWhat will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $450 means the market gives it about 0%.