Polymarket · ClimateClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaias | 100% | +5 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 44d |
| Cristobal | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 44d |
| Dolly | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Edouard | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Fay | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Gonzalo | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 44d |
| Hanna | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 44d |
| Josephine | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 44d |
| Kyle | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 44d |
| Leah | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Marco | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Nana | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Omar | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Paulette | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Rene | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Sally | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Teddy | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Vicky | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Wilfred | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
| Other | 0% | −3 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 45d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Isaias means the market gives it about 100%.