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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 0% | −4 pts | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Good Day | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 31¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 20+ times | 0% | −75 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pandemic | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Anchor / Anchored | 100% | +66 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Projection | 100% | +19 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Dissent | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 30¢ | — | ended |
| Software | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Labor Force | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · 14¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Echo | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Task Force 10+ times | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pressure | 100% | +58 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Bet / Betting | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · 14¢ | — | ended |
| Scenario | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · 31¢ | — | ended |
| Balance Sheet | 0% | −84 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Productivity | 100% | +12 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Luck / Lucky | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d |  noreasapa | Projection | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 30d | vdsgsdfgb | Trump | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$442 +11% | 23 |
| 31d | polybettor | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 31d | .brain. | Good Day | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$68 +6.0% | 21 |
| 32d |  turtle911 | Good Day | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | +$240 +11% | 22 |
AllByMyseIf8,616 shares
madril2,100 shares
Obi-WanKenobi415 sharesKevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Trump means the market gives it about 0%.