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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $525 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $485 | 100% | 0 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $500 | 0% | −1 pts | −35 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $455 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $335 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $430 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $465 | 100% | −6 pts | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $555 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $635 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $380 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $600 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $420 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $575 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | FEDchair | ↓ $455 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,636 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | FEDchair | ↓ $430 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,202 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | FEDchair | ↓ $420 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,704 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | FEDchair | ↓ $380 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,933 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | FEDchair | ↑ $555 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,004 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | FEDchair | ↑ $575 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,905 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | FEDchair | ↑ $600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,621 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | FEDchair | ↑ $635 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,555 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | newt | ↓ $335 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,231 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 323d | hydroflask | ↑ $485 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,280 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 324d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $485 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,980 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 325d | hydroflask | ↑ $485 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 326d | Candid-Pate | ↓ $465 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,608 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
What price will Microsoft (MSFT) hit before 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $525 means the market gives it about 0%.