Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran / Mamdani | 100% | +11 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Antisemitic / Antisemitism | 100% | +2 pts | — | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +49 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Hormuz | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yemen / Houthis | 100% | +21 pts | — | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 3+ times | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · 36¢ | — | ended |
| Israel 10+ times | 100% | +6 pts | — | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Iran / Lebanon 5+ times | 100% | +10 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 0% | −56 pts | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Settler / Settlement | 100% | +85 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Uranium | 0% | −69 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Violence | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 84¢ | — | ended |
| Abraham Accords | 0% | −75 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drone | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · 28¢ | — | ended |
| Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism 5+ times | 100% | +7 pts | +25 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Regime 5+ times | 100% | +17 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Benjamin Netanyahu is scheduled to speak during the United Nations General Assembly on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Netanyahu's remarks during the United Nations General Assembly on September 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Zohran / Mamdani means the market gives it about 100%.