Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good Afternoon | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −10 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 0% | −83 pts | −73 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Pandemic | 100% | +27 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −76 pts | −75 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ times | 0% | −40 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oil | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| War | 0% | −67 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin / Warsh | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Data Center | 100% | +62 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Governor | 100% | +26 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 60+ times | 0% | −32 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Middle East | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Balance Sheet | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Successor | 0% | −63 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shut down / Shutdown | 0% | −25 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Integrity | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff inflation | 0% | −60 pts | −60 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Simulation | 0% | −24 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Goods inflation | 0% | −65 pts | −62 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Job 15+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Comment | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luck | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d |  Mmaduk | Inflation 40+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 170d |  noreasapa | Iran | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d |  ClydeCash | Inflation 40+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 170d | pako | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$53 +2.0% | 20 |
| 170d | quakeroats - 20404 | Iran | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,498 | −$21 −0.8% | — |
| 170d |  FranTerC4 | Iran | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,107 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d | Ordon | Iran | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  KING-VIP23 | Iran | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,263 | −$30 −0.9% | — |
| 170d | letmewinplzz | Kevin / Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,491 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d | lakemichigan | Kevin / Warsh | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 170d | FranTerC4 | Oil | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d |  AgricultureSecretary | Oil | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,239 | +$25 +1.1% | 20 |
| 170d | GCNO1 | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $4,062 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | noreasapa | Middle East | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$36 +2.7% | 20 |
| 170d | noreasapa | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,404 | +$67 +0.5% | 20 |
| 170d | ajmakid | Middle East | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$229 +20% | 20 |
| 170d | GCNO12 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,015 | +$58 +1.9% | 20 |
| 170d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$89 +7.6% | 20 |
| 170d | 5551ab3 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,530 | +$75 +1.7% | 20 |
| 170d | 0x224C1F271430512742 fills | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $2,772 | −$2,772 −100% | 20 |
| 170d | Hoch | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$44 +1.8% | 20 |
| 171d | 0x224C1F27143051274 | Pandemic | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$515 +37% | 20 |
| 171d | 0x224C1F27143051274 | Simulation | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$325 +22% | 20 |
| 171d | 0x224C1F27143051274 | Iran | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 20 |
| 171d | Lexington | Iran | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,618 | −$1,618 −100% | 20 |
| 171d | 0x224C1F27143051274 | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$1,036 +97% | 20 |
| 171d | LordofPM3 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,262 | +$200 +1.6% | 20 |
| 171d | weekyweeky | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | +$52 +1.7% | 20 |
| 172d |  yen4u4 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,252 | +$391 +1.9% | 20 |
| 193d | nangongyingque | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$27 +1.4% | 20 |
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Good Afternoon means the market gives it about 100%.