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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge | 0% | 0 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ | 0% | −45 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Obvious | 0% | −48 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 60+ | 0% | −33 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 0% | −32 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Downbeat | 0% | −38 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 15+ | 100% | +59 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ | 100% | +30 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Summer | 100% | +24 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Median | 100% | +7 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −21 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Energy | 100% | +5 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Volatile | 100% | +6 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unemployment 15+ | 100% | +68 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recession | 0% | −67 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Immigration | 100% | +29 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Comment | 100% | +34 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481d | VvVv2 fills | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $14,985 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | rwo | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | EnzoFabi | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $2,517 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 482d |  elmcap27 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $177,864 | +$181 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d | RobertoRubio2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,035 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d |  JJo2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,290 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d |  brodiaga2 fills | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $19,261 | −$39 −0.2% | — |
| 482d |  Debosnys2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,346 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d |  cy6erpunker2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,495 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 482d | VvVv2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d | mangotree | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $28,388 | −$57 −0.2% | — |
| 482d | Debosnys | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $53,838 | −$162 −0.3% | — |
| 482d |  bosshog | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,988 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 483d | brodiaga2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,269 | +$31 +0.2% | 20 |
| 483d | 0330330333 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,014 | +$57 +0.2% | 20 |
| 483d | EnzoFabi | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,517 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 484d |  neetbets2 fills | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $3,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 484d |  duderr | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $3,342 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 484d |  Car | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $20,958 | −$42 −0.2% | — |
| 484d |  masuclinehat | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $34,930 | −$70 −0.2% | — |
| 484d |  Dragontree | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 484d |  Bertapotamous | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $1,623 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 484d |  MrNFT | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 484d |  MoMBonds2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,481 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 484d |  imtiredb0ss2 fills | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $9,641 | −$47 −0.5% | — |
| 484d |  mango-lassi | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,009 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 485d | LuketheNuke | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $1,353 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 485d |  mr.ozi | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $6,511 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  SPIT | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $1,744 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d |  Dropper2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,121 | +$108 +0.4% | 20 |
| 485d |  WhiteLivesMatter2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,904 | +$96 +0.4% | 20 |
| 485d | Bertapotamous2 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,979 | +$21 +0.3% | 20 |
| 485d |  tsys88888 | Judge | SellNo>99¢ | $4,766 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 485d | neetbets3 fills | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,491 | +$19 +0.3% | 20 |
| 485d | tsys88888 | Judge | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,780 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d |  aenews2 | Judge | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | +$161 +10% | 20 |
| 485d | imtiredb0ss2 fills | Judge | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,658 | +$102 +2.8% | 20 |
| 485d | m20241223 | Judge | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | −$155 −10% | — |
| 485d |  yeyy | Inflation 60+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,657 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  Neogenesis | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,467 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | mr.ozi | Inflation 40+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | imtiredb0ss | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $2,859 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | IBT | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$27 +1.2% | 20 |
| 485d |  noreasapa2 fills | Inflation 40+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,925 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 485d |  Axios | Judge | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $2,142 | −$2,142 −100% | 20 |
| 485d | Axios2 fills | Immigration | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | +$310 +8.7% | 20 |
| 485d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Immigration | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 20 |
| 485d | rwo | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,988 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d | BobbyB | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$24 +1.1% | 20 |
| 485d | ThereIsNoSpoon | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$26 +1.1% | 20 |
| 485d | Newshound | Median | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$66 +6.4% | 20 |
| 485d | AZwater | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 485d | Vilgefortz | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | +$45 +1.9% | 20 |
| 485d | pbshine | Good Afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$30 +2.8% | 20 |
| 486d | affs20791 | Good Afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | +$116 +3.3% | 20 |
| 486d | Misguided-Oxford | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$50 +1.7% | 20 |
| 486d |  UwO | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,937 | +$74 +1.2% | 20 |
| 486d | quanterty | Inflation 60+ | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$995 +40% | 28 |
| 486d | quanterty | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $35,000 | +$611 +1.7% | 20 |
ms54423,850 sharesJerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 18, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by June 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Judge means the market gives it about 0%.