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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $6,300 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $5,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $8,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,300 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,400 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $6,900 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,200 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,100 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,500 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,200 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $6,800 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,600 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d |  DiamondHands11 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,846 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 199d | believerver2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,491 | +$389 +8.7% | 4 |
| 200d | CamelUp4 fills | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $7,208 | +$2,269 +31% | 12 |
| 200d | 0xe617…f2513 fills | ↓ $6,200 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$270 +4.2% | 4 |
| 200d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 200d |  olegs2 fills | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | +$50 +2.4% | 4 |
| 201d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $3,218 | +$1,446 +45% | 12 |
| 201d | Maratk87 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,449 +72% | 12 |
| 202d | ftgrt | ↑ $7,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | fgtrr | ↑ $7,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | juihty | ↑ $7,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | Jude1332 | ↓ $5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | Jiander | ↓ $5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | −$2,834 −92% | — |
| 203d | xiapptna | ↓ $6,300 | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,862 | −$2,862 −100% | 9 |
| 203d | juak | ↓ $6,300 | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,823 | +$2,823 +100% | — |
| 203d | 4472 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,880 | −$2,880 −100% | 9 |
| 203d | Rapid-Climate3 fills | ↓ $6,400 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,302 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  CoinTrick | ↓ $6,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,121 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | Chandaria | ↓ $6,400 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,320 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 203d | msrcap2 | ↑ $7,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 203d | Hexagon555 | ↓ $6,400 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | −$235 −14% | — |
| 203d | CamelUp2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $3,540 | −$3,540 −100% | 7 |
| 203d | olegs | ↑ $7,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,766 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 204d | unco2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,093 | +$1,293 +42% | 6 |
| 205d |  BlackswanHunter3 fills | ↓ $6,400 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $5,760 | −$5,760 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | Croesus1 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,719 | +$328 +19% | 5 |
| 206d | idrinkwaterandbreatheair | ↑ $7,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 206d | Hexagon555 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,459 | +$776 +32% | 6 |
| 207d | BlackswanHunter2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,684 | −$1,188 −32% | — |
| 208d | CamelUp | ↓ $6,400 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $3,224 | −$3,224 −100% | 4 |
| 208d | Exotic-Investigator | ↑ $7,300 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,043 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 208d | Ill-Fated-Detection | ↑ $7,300 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,022 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 208d | wefwefewewfw | ↑ $7,300 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,060 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 208d | Energetic-Riddle | ↑ $7,300 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,061 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 208d | Clean-Castanet | ↑ $7,300 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,042 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 208d | Definite-Matrix | ↑ $7,300 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,022 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 210d | CoinTrick | ↓ $6,500 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 210d | bean125 | ↓ $6,500 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,261 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 210d | CoinTrick | ↓ $6,500 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,520 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 210d | VNINVESTOR | ↓ $6,200 | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | −$1,061 −54% | — |
| 210d |  BettingQuant | ↓ $6,500 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 210d | BlackswanHunter | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$751 +56% | 4 |
| 211d |  jjda3 fills | ↓ $5,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,574 | +$189 +1.2% | 4 |
| 211d | Unselfish-Dress | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,154 | +$846 +39% | 4 |
| 212d | CoinTrick | ↓ $6,600 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,923 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 213d | VNINVESTOR | ↓ $6,200 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,803 | +$423 +11% | 4 |
| 213d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | ↓ $5,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$20 +1.5% | 4 |
| 214d | CamelUp2 fills | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | +$680 +16% | 4 |
| 216d | wehifbweifiv123 | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,035 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 216d | Brave-Ashram | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,053 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 216d | segiuweigew123 | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,037 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 217d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$899 +45% | 4 |
| 218d | olegs | ↑ $7,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | +$13 +0.8% | 4 |
| 220d | Medical-Manacle | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,531 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 220d | Cold-Row | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 |
| 220d | Intent-Receiver | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,552 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 220d | Wordy-Affair | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$11 +0.7% | 4 |
| 220d | Useless-Retailer | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$11 +0.7% | 4 |
| 220d | Joint-Alder | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $6,300 means the market gives it about 0%.