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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | 0% | −21 pts | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Space Force | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon / Musk | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alien | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mission | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Flag | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Moon Base | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| ISS / International Space Station | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Communication | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Russian | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Century | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China / Chinese | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Smart | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Never Seen Anything | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baby | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Far Side | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Space Force | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$230 +16% | 22 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend a ceremony at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston on August 28, 2026 at 11AM ET. (https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasas-artemis-ii-crew-set-to-receive-congressional-space-medal-of-honor/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's attendance of a ceremony at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston on August 28, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for SpaceX means the market gives it about 0%.