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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | — | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China / Chinese | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Stock Market | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Team 15+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oval Office | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canada | 100% | — | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Medal 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Historic | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Coach 7+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell | 0% | — | — | — · 70¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d |  macrosteaks2 fills | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $5,741 | −$5,741 −100% | 24 |
bjprolo12 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Team USA Reception on August 6, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdkkcodEu6YhwBrQnREyC). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Team USA Reception" scheduled for 7:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Oil / Gas / Gasoline means the market gives it about 0%.