Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karoline Leavitt | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Movie star | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 25+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beautiful 10+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Title IX / Title 9 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SAVE Act / Save America Act | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Angel | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epic Fury / Midnight Hammer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soccer / Football | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Child | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TrumpRX / Favored Nation | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kristi / Noem | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| State of the Union / State of Union | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Where are you | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Good looking | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Army / Navy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Darling / Honey | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Affordable / Affordability | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| IVF | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicki / Minaj | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218d | cuuc | Good looking | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,082 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 218d | SMJKC | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,759 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 218d | sugertime | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,111 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 218d | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,422 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 218d | Nicki / Minaj | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,348 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | Where are you | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,449 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | Title IX / Title 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,410 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | Epic Fury / Midnight Hammer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | Soccer / Football | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,401 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | Kristi / Noem | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | State of the Union / State of Union | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | Army / Navy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,219 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | IVF | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,728 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | TrumpRX / Favored Nation | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 218d | TrumpRX / Favored Nation | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$32 +2.8% | 20 | |
| 218d | govalorant | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$114 +9.6% | 20 |
| 218d | govalorant | Karoline Leavitt | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $1,282 | −$1,282 −100% | 20 |
| 218d | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,762 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 219d | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$25 +1.6% | 20 | |
| 219d | Vitoshere | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$21 +2.0% | 21 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to host an event for Women's History Month on March 12, 2026 (https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2031434734954229899). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Karoline Leavitt means the market gives it about 0%.