Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America / American | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Beautiful | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Stupid / Low IQ | 0% | −3 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| None | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Term 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 16 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 17 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 18 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 20 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 21 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 22 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 23 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 25 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 26 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 27 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 28 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 32 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 33 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 34 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 35 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 36 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 37 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 38 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 39 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 40 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 41 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 42 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 43 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 44 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 45 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 46 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 47 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 48 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 49 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 50 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 51 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 52 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 53 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 54 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 55 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 56 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 57 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 58 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 59 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 60 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 61 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 62 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 63 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 64 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 65 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 66 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 67 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 68 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 69 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Term 70 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | -JB- | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,951 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | uprightuser | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,748 | +$19 +0.4% | 20 |
| 234d | America / American | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,636 | +$64 +1.8% | 20 | |
| 234d | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 235d | turtle19991212 | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,364 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 235d | jkhkjkl | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 235d | None | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$42 +2.1% | 21 | |
| 236d | Bollys | MAGA / Make America Great Again | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$23 −2.2% | — |
| 237d | Bollys | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$22 +2.1% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve according to the first listed term Donald Trump says during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None". If Donald Trump does not say any listed term during the event, this market will resolve to "None". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for America / American means the market gives it about 100%.