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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Third term | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| N Word | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Midnight Hammer | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aliens are Real | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest Nation | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Snake | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Low Energy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charlie Kirk | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Coward | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Truth Social | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Virus / Wuhan Lab | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Little Rocket Man | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kanye / Taylor Swift | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Judy Shelton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liberation Day | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Big Fat Cat | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| UFC Fight | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Capital of the World | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Banana Republic | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sudan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Escalator | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Erika Kirk | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| War On Fraud | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Secret Word | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Data Center | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Debate | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lonely | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Easter | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pulitzer Prize | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d |  DogePlayMid | Third term | SellNo>99¢ | $1,332 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | Lisbon | Third term | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,983 | +$17 +0.3% | 20 |
| 198d | RobertoRubio | Third term | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,515 | +$22 +0.3% | 20 |
| 198d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Third term | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 198d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b045 fills | Third term | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,804 | +$51 +0.1% | 20 |
| 198d |  aenews2 | Third term | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,319 | −$123 −0.6% | — |
| 199d | DarkZuckerberg - 28387 | Third term | SellNo>99¢ | $3,694 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 199d |  ErnstKuzorra | Third term | SellNo>99¢ | $2,926 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 199d |  halker | Third term | SellNo>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 199d |  .ethguy | Third term | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | −$1,124 −54% | — |
| 199d |  yen4u | Third term | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $6,377 | −$3,419 −54% | — |
| 199d |  bamesjond | Third term | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | −$1,774 −48% | — |
| 199d | aenews24 fills | Third term | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $14,081 | +$4,931 +35% | 20 |
| 199d | .ethguy | Third term | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$611 +39% | 20 |
| 199d | Logan. | Third term | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | +$1,450 +100% | — |
| 199d | grgrrrgrgrgrr | Third term | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $3,837 | −$3,837 −100% | 21 |
| 199d | dbbtdw | Third term | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$157 −15% | — |
| 199d | yen4u | Third term | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,772 | +$910 +10% | 20 |
| 199d | bamesjond | Third term | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$194 +19% | 20 |
| 199d | Belk | Third term | SellNo27¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$3,403 −270% | — |
| 199d | Belk | Third term | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 199d |  PredictionYogi | N Word | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,546 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 199d | PredictionYogi | China Virus / Wuhan Lab | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 199d | halker | Third term | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$45 +4.2% | 20 |
| 199d |  NotMasterFan2 fills | N Word | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,896 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 202d | cikcikcik | N Word | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | −$22 −1.7% | — |
| 204d |  ZhangMuZhi.. | Snake | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,516 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 204d | oidocrop | Snake | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 |
| 207d | kkdsj2 fills | Easter | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,212 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d | BrilliantBandit | Easter | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,241 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 214d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer33 fills | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,626 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 217d | Trustinghorse | Pulitzer Prize | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 219d | BrightStars | Debate | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,785 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 221d | Bibi | N Word | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$81 +7.5% | 20 |
| 226d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Data Center | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,614 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | cikcikcik | N Word | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$94 +7.5% | 20 |
| 228d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Midnight Hammer | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,140 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  AgricultureSecretary | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,719 | +$30 +1.8% | 20 |
| 232d |  timesoft | Lonely | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,223 | −$1,223 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Third term means the market gives it about 0%.