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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pennsylvania | 100% | +77 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 100% | +48 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA | 100% | +41 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| God | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America 5+ times | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fraud | 100% | +87 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rig/Rigged | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| We Won | 100% | +45 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Steal/Stole | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victory 3+ times | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mail-in | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Illegal | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701d |  JanSobieski3 | Victory 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,277 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | knv | Fraud | SellYes>99¢ | $1,293 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 701d | JanSobieski3 | Fraud | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,071 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 701d | JanSobieski3 | God | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,138 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d |  Car | We Won | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 701d | JayRod-389 | Border | SellYes>99¢ | $2,346 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 701d | sdgwerb | Pennsylvania | SellYes>99¢ | $1,477 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 701d | hi4m | Kamala | SellNo>99¢ | $1,448 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 701d |  Axios | MAGA | SellYes>99¢ | $4,233 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 701d |  ARudeEgg | Border | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,953 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | Gooseggs | Border | SellYes>99¢ | $1,580 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 701d | 881112 | God | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 701d | ARudeEgg | America 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,555 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | ARudeEgg | Mail-in | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,174 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | ARudeEgg | Pennsylvania | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,848 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | ARudeEgg | Elon | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,159 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | ARudeEgg | God | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,504 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | polyswiss | America 5+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 701d | Jason.Xu | Fraud | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | −$29 −2.0% | — |
| 701d | Axios | We Won | SellYes>99¢ | $2,140 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 701d |  vocifer2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,168 | +$561 +6.9% | 20 |
| 701d | vocifer | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$21 +2.0% | 20 |
| 701d | vocifer | Fraud | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,615 | +$400 +2.0% | 20 |
| 701d |  XiJinPing-478 | Fraud | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | +$607 +35% | 20 |
| 701d | vocifer | God | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,700 | +$300 +5.3% | 20 |
| 701d | vocifer | America 5+ times | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,324 | +$181 +7.8% | 20 |
| 701d | Axios | Mail-in | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | +$95 +3.6% | 20 |
| 701d | semi | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$75 +4.9% | 20 |
| 701d | Axios | Steal/Stole | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$115 +11% | 20 |
| 701d |  balablaa | America 5+ times | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$600 +59% | 20 |
| 701d |  SiO2 | Victory 3+ times | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$120 +10% | 20 |
| 701d | Axios | God | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$770 +53% | 20 |
| 701d | Axios | Fraud | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 20 |
| 701d |  carp | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | −$155 −13% | — |
| 701d | vocifer | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,996 | −$1,004 −13% | — |
| 701d | Axios | Border | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$54 +3.6% | 20 |
| 701d | Axios | We Won | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 701d | Axios2 fills | Pennsylvania | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,072 | +$123 +5.9% | 20 |
| 701d | Axios | MAGA | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$388 +37% | 20 |
| 701d | balablaa | America 5+ times | SellNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$1,914 −167% | — |
| 701d |  Mr-Yolos3 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,442 | +$1,082 +11% | 20 |
| 702d | pricklypete | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$133 +11% | 20 |
| 702d |  AlastorOrion | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | −$203 −14% | — |
| 702d | Imakemoves | MAGA | SellYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$2,342 −189% | — |
| 702d |  sdflef | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,909 | +$1,909 +100% | — |
| 702d |  Pirax | MAGA | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$579 +48% | 20 |
| 702d | Dseale | America 5+ times | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | +$1,060 +100% | — |
| 703d | EscalateFund | Steal/Stole | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | +$240 +13% | 20 |
| 703d | xyv | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 23 |
| 703d |  mr.ozi | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,282 | −$718 −14% | — |
| 703d | Gooseggs | Border | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$383 +24% | 20 |
| 704d | balablaa | Kamala | SellNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$960 −88% | — |
| 704d | uhgfdedf | Victory 3+ times | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$330 +28% | 20 |
| 704d | uhgfdedf | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 20 |
| 704d |  peasant | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,385 | −$1,385 −100% | 22 |
| 704d | ARudeEgg6 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,167 | +$1,120 +9.2% | 20 |
| 704d | mr.ozi2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,952 | +$648 +9.3% | 20 |
| 704d | JanSobieski3 | Elon | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,347 | +$1,347 +100% | — |
| 705d |  GoriIIa3 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $30,839 | +$3,121 +10% | 20 |
| 705d |  HighRoller | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 20 |
hack5cronos1 sharesThis is a market on predicting the content of Trump's speech following the announcement of election results.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.