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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballroom | 0% | −13 pts | −81 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Lindsey / Graham | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No No No | 100% | +69 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | +26 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mental Institution / Mental Institute | 100% | +30 pts | — | 87¢ · 100¢ (13¢) | — | ended |
| Who Are You | 0% | −14 pts | −53 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| You Know What / You Know Who | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kevin / Warsh | 100% | +51 pts | — | 91¢ · 100¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| Pearl Harbor | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Abraham Accords | 0% | −18 pts | −32 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Compost | 0% | −5 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Big Trouble | 0% | −14 pts | −61 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Justice | 0% | −2 pts | −51 pts | — · 28¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67d | HornyBibi | Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
aenews21,000 shares
EscapeVelocity150 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ballroom means the market gives it about 0%.