| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 495 | 8¢ → 76¢ | $374 | +$337 +895% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 670 | 27¢ → 43¢ | $285 | +$103 +57% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 766 | 27¢ → 31¢ | $237 | +$34 +17% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 599 | 30¢ → 40¢ | $237 | +$56 +31% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,071 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $182 | −$12 −6.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 424 | 13¢ → 43¢ | $180 | +$125 +228% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 210 | 37¢ → 66¢ | $138 | +$60 +77% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 280 | 41¢ → 35¢ | $98 | −$17 −15% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 113 | 35¢ → 75¢ | $84 | +$45 +113% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 110 | 44¢ → 68¢ | $75 | +$27 +55% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 140 | 18¢ → 50¢ | $69 | +$44 +175% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,050 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $59 | −$63 −52% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 49¢ → 64¢ | $57 | +$13 +30% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 197 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $54 | −$7 −12% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 110 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $48 | −$6 −10% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 33¢ → 77¢ | $46 | +$26 +132% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $44 | +$3 +6.6% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 220 | 26¢ → 20¢ | $43 | −$15 −26% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $40 | +$3 +6.8% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 80¢ → 67¢ | $40 | −$8 −17% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 150 | 13¢ → 23¢ | $34 | +$14 +73% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 119 | 11¢ → 26¢ | $30 | +$17 +132% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 60 | 60¢ → 46¢ | $27 | −$9 −24% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $23 | +$4 +20% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 63 | 16¢ → 35¢ | $22 | +$12 +116% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $20 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$1 −6.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 650 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $19 | −$24 −56% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 60 | 50¢ → 28¢ | $17 | −$13 −43% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $16 | +$3 +22% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$20 −59% |
| Will Trump deport less than 200k people?Ends in 134d | Yes | 783 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $13 | −$96 −88% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 460 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$29 −72% |
| Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 106d | Yes | 127 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $10 | +$6 +150% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 31¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$22 −69% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 275 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $9 | −$3 −23% |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Ends in 240d | Yes | 400 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$5 −39% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,400 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 130 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $7 | −$1 −9.6% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 800 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$3 −29% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$3 −33% |
| Will 2026 rank between 13th and 15th among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 106d | Yes | 143 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $6 | −$5 −48% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 13 | 1¢ → 45¢ | $6 | +$5 +4118% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 204 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$20 −80% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 900 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$23 −84% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,800 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$2 −33% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,100 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$10 −75% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 800 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$6 −70% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,554 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$13 −82% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 28 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$1 −33% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 2 | 52¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$1 +80% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,306 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$11 −85% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$30 −94% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,500 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$7 −81% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$5 −83% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,932 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$7 −87% |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 900 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −67% |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 758 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −95% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −83% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 152 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 420 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 484 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 585 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 758 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 794 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,666 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,921 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$333 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 124 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 100 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 794 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 676 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 100 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 594 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
