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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| February | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| April | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| June | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| May | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| July (before RNC) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Doesn't drop out before RNC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 955d | MickeyMouse | Doesn't drop out before RNC | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 955d | March | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,815 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 955d | Doesn't drop out before RNC | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,241 | +$19 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 955d | March | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,696 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 955d | Null00 | March | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $4,223 | −$4,223 −100% | 4 |
| 955d | Doesn't drop out before RNC | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$60 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 955d | March | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,008 | +$43 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 955d | Donk-513 | March | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,719 | +$246 +14% | 4 |
| 957d | Anon55662 fills | March | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,346 | +$534 +23% | 4 |
| 960d | polyproguy | February | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 960d | professorx | February | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,857 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 962d | February | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,139 | +$361 +5.1% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between February 24, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and March 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March means the market gives it about 100%.