Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2027 | 45% | +1 pts | +19 pts | 15¢ · 74¢ (59¢) | — | in 226d |
| December 31, 2026 | 43% | −1 pts | +19 pts | 7¢ · 79¢ (72¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | Palace8709 | Project Helix release by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
LornaPredicts63 shares
duderr232 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft officially releases Project Helix by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be acknowledged to be part of Project Helix and be recognized as a major Xbox console, similar to the Xbox Series X or Xbox One. A new Xbox console not acknowledged by Microsoft as being part of Project Helix will not qualify. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Microsoft. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 45¢ for May 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 45%.