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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 27-May 3 | 100% | +79 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 16-19 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 20-26 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 4-10 | 0% | −16 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 11-17 | 0% | −30 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 18-24 | 0% | −22 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 25-31 | 0% | −5 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 1-7 | 0% | −10 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 8-14 | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 15-21 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 22-28 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 29-July 5 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 6-12 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 13-19 | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 20-26 | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 27-31 | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After July 31 | 0% | −13 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 27-May 3 means the market gives it about 100%.