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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | 0% | −1 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) | 0% | −2 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pure Storage (PSTG) | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ciena (CIEN) | 100% | +70 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vertiv Holdings (VRT) | 100% | — | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | ears | Pure Storage (PSTG) | SellNo>99¢ | $3,009 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | ears | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,497 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | ears | Pure Storage (PSTG) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,053 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 199d | ears | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,900 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | SellNo>99¢ | $5,444 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | QMG-CORE3 fills | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,429 | +$45 +1.0% | 4 |
| 201d | QMG-CORE3 fills | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,326 | +$53 +1.2% | 4 |
| 201d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Pure Storage (PSTG) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,200 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 203d | Rowdy-Hutch | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,961 | −$509 −26% | — |
| 208d | xasrtq43t34g | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,578 | −$16 −0.6% | — |
| 208d | xasrtq43t34g | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,578 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 |
| 208d | cvbxe5rxb | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,564 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 208d | nvbnmct6 | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 208d | sdfgsegsdhgs4vc | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,578 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 |
| 208d | sdfgs4tgsrth | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 208d | dfghd54hxgfn | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,564 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 209d | QMG-SCALAR | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$10 +0.7% | 4 |
| 211d | Jjw | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 |
| 211d | Jjw | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,230 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 211d |  SongXiaoFeng | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 218d | Total-FailNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$18 −1.2% | — |
| 218d | Leading-WetlandNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | −$17 −1.2% | — |
| 218d | Leading-WetlandNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$18 +1.3% | 5 |
| 218d | Muffled-BuckNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$13 +1.3% | 5 |
| 218d | Total-FailNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$20 +1.3% | 5 |
| 218d | Bite-Sized-PoundingNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$14 +1.3% | 5 |
| 218d | Vigilant-AllowanceNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 218d | Needy-PillNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$13 −1.1% | — |
| 218d | Vigilant-AllowanceNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$12 +1.2% | 5 |
| 218d | Needy-PillNew account | Affirm Holdings (AFRM) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$14 +1.2% | 5 |
| 218d | Blissful-OfferNew account | Pure Storage (PSTG) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$15 +1.3% | 5 |
| 218d | Roasted-MariachiNew account | Pure Storage (PSTG) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | +$21 +1.3% | 5 |
| 218d | Daring-SubsidenceNew account | Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | −$39 −1.9% | — |
| 218d | Variable-JumpNew account | Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$28 −1.9% | — |
| 218d | Giddy-SuitNew account | Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | −$30 −1.9% | — |
| 218d | Giddy-SuitNew account | Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$29 +1.8% | 5 |
| 219d | Ethical-ExitNew account | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | −$26 −1.7% | — |
| 222d | Rowdy-HutchNew account | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,304 | +$19 +0.8% | 4 |
| 223d | kkdsj | Vertiv Holdings (VRT) | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,122 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | diterpene | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$32 −3.1% | — |
| 224d |  macrosteaks | Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | −$32 −1.7% | — |
| 224d |  ArmageddonRewardsBillyBoy | Vertiv Holdings (VRT) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,614 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 224d | ArmageddonRewardsBillyBoy | Vertiv Holdings (VRT) | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,088 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | raman9999 | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | −$49 −2.0% | — |
| 224d | raman9999 | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$23 +0.5% | 4 |
| 224d | macrosteaks | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,864 | −$38 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | chriszyy3 | Vertiv Holdings (VRT) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,230 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  CherryB16 | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | −$47 −2.8% | — |
| 224d | mackcro | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$37 −3.0% | — |
| 224d | fillit982 fills | Vertiv Holdings (VRT) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,130 | +$164 +5.2% | 4 |
| 224d | CherryB16 | SoFi Technologies (SOFI) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$24 +1.9% | 4 |
| 226d | twhewv8hs2okm | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,549 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 226d | ojluoysq5in8q | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,539 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 226d | mcwkdmc0ob2n4 | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,529 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 251d | bspnlaag0og145 | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$40 +1.6% | 4 |
| 251d | edlko7f24rn11ij | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | +$41 +1.6% | 4 |
| 251d | tmtkvqrm9lj1125 | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,549 | +$41 +1.6% | 4 |
| 251d | rvwve46j6nkw3 | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | +$57 +1.6% | 4 |
| 251d | ejagkpvhwe6wm | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,508 | +$57 +1.6% | 4 |
| 251d | qenww9ntx0j8c | Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,503 | +$57 +1.6% | 4 |
solx410 shares
Degencrew357 sharesThe S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index. An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) means the market gives it about 0%.