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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| European Union | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −2 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canada | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vietnam | 0% | −1 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| India | 0% | −3 pts | −17 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +27 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 100% | +21 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | −2 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brazil | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473d |  SappySeal67 | Argentina | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,835 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 473d | hindu | India | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,521 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | 0x7d17741e8bF | European Union | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,179 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 473d | 0x7d17741e8bF | India | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,030 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 474d | hindu | Canada | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
| 475d |  albert.00 | European Union | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$80 +3.2% | 21 |
| 475d | albert.00 | India | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$91 +4.6% | 21 |
| 476d | jaja5050 | France | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,351 | +$26 +1.1% | 20 |
| 476d | wubddh | Japan | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$81 +5.6% | 21 |
| 476d | hindu | South Korea | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 476d | SappySeal67 | Canada | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$30 +1.5% | 20 |
| 476d | 129129129 | India | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$684 −62% | — |
| 477d | Sparkling-Command | South Korea | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | −$18 −1.2% | — |
| 477d | Sparkling-Command | India | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$712 +27% | 21 |
| 477d |  Car2 fills | European Union | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,252 | +$702 +31% | 20 |
| 478d | Car | European Union | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | −$76 −6.3% | — |
| 479d | jaja5050 | Vietnam | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$137 +12% | 21 |
| 480d | Car | Japan | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$137 +13% | 21 |
| 480d | Car | Vietnam | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$229 +15% | 21 |
| 480d | N3kro2 fills | Japan | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,176 | −$218 −10.0% | — |
| 480d | deepankur | Israel | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$183 −18% | — |
| 481d | Car2 fills | India | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,221 | +$271 +12% | 21 |
| 482d |  Flaner | India | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$443 +30% | 20 |
| 482d | Flaner | Vietnam | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$260 +23% | 20 |
| 482d | nakshi | India | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$365 +30% | 20 |
| 484d | spark1 | Vietnam | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | +$665 +28% | 20 |
| 485d | Drowerz2 fills | India | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $2,327 | −$1,996 −86% | — |
| 491d | Hankwonhee | South Korea | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$96 +8.7% | 20 |
| 491d |  Euan | Japan | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | −$1,178 −100% | 20 |
| 491d | TigerK | South Korea | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$115 +11% | 20 |
| 491d |  khatai | Vietnam | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$568 +57% | 20 |
| 493d | Euan | European Union | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$228 +22% | 20 |
| 494d | Euan | India | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$1,291 +103% | 20 |
| 494d | spark1 | South Korea | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$138 +14% | 20 |
| 495d | khatai2 fills | Japan | SellNo46¢ → 100¢ | $2,704 | −$3,237 −120% | — |
| 495d | Facekini888 | South Korea | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$245 +16% | 20 |
| 496d |  scottilicious2 fills | India | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $7,093 | +$7,093 +100% | — |
| 496d | earlywise | India | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,722 | +$1,722 +100% | — |
| 496d | JOHNOO | South Korea | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 20 |
| 496d | Shikamaru.DM | India | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $2,350 | +$2,350 +100% | — |
| 496d | nakshi | South Korea | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 21 |
| 497d | khatai2 fills | Japan | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $5,258 | +$6,059 +115% | 21 |
| 497d | khatai | India | SellYes74¢ → 0¢ | $2,146 | +$2,146 +100% | — |
| 498d | abusivienejskx | South Korea | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 20 |
| 498d | khatai | India | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,759 | −$1,759 −100% | 20 |
| 499d | Junthor | Japan | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $17,431 | +$17,431 +100% | — |
| 499d | Junthor | Japan | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $17,788 | −$17,788 −100% | 20 |
| 499d | Tylersbathtime | Canada | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,879 | −$729 −39% | — |
| 500d | triphan | Vietnam | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $4,130 | −$4,130 −100% | 20 |
| 500d | 0x7d17741e8bF | South Korea | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,511 | −$2,511 −100% | 21 |
| 500d | 0x7d17741e8bF | South Korea | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | −$1,282 −80% | — |
| 502d | Halvix | Israel | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $35,751 | −$15,322 −43% | — |
| 502d | Halvix | Israel | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $36,264 | +$14,812 +41% | 20 |
| 505d | casituantuu | Vietnam | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 505d | Drowerz | Israel | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 20 |
| 505d | Drowerz | India | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$1,179 +106% | 20 |
| 506d | Drowerz | India | SellYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,390 | +$1,390 +100% | — |
| 507d | Rydric | Israel | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $17,402 | −$12,601 −72% | — |
| 507d | Rydric | Israel | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $17,703 | +$12,302 +69% | 20 |
| 508d | Car | European Union | SellYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | +$1,080 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for South Korea means the market gives it about 0%.
