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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 100% | 0 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liberal Party | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bloc Québécois | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Democratic Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| People's Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d |  AVAAL | Conservative Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,454 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Conservative Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,068 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 536d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,741 | +$44 +0.8% | 10 |
| 536d | 0330330334 fills | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,693 | +$40 +0.3% | 10 |
| 536d | ImHereForTheRewards | Conservative Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,161 | −$52 −1.0% | — |
| 536d |  Intendant-Jean-Talon2 fills | Conservative Party | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | −$510 −21% | — |
| 537d | cigarettes2 fills | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,840 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 537d | cigarettes | Liberal Party | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$256 +23% | 10 |
| 537d | ImHereForTheRewards | Conservative Party | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$259 +24% | 10 |
| 537d |  taut-dogwood2 fills | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,967 | +$68 +0.5% | 10 |
| 538d |  debased9 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $19,986 | +$5,310 +27% | 10 |
| 538d | 0330330332 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,869 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 539d | elPolloLoco4 fills | Bloc Québécois | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,291 | −$53 −0.6% | — |
| 541d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Conservative Party | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,339 | +$1,001 +14% | 10 |
| 541d | debased2 fills | Conservative Party | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,603 | −$1,356 −18% | — |
| 542d |  ScamWick | Conservative Party | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$335 +27% | 10 |
| 542d |  Astera2 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,708 | +$1,118 +41% | 10 |
| 544d | hudspeth | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,896 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 544d | KostaRider | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,617 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 544d | HadleighKaua | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,531 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 544d | HadleighKaua | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,533 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 545d | hudspeth | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 545d | KostaRider | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,618 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 545d | Liquidifier | Conservative Party | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 12 |
| 545d |  LinaBell | Conservative Party | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$382 −32% | — |
| 545d | whitford | People's Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,976 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 546d | whitford | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,978 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 546d | DIversED | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $2,176 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 546d | DIversED | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,178 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 546d | romilly | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,658 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 547d | PabloXtreme | People's Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,796 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 547d | RenzoWild | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,838 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 547d | PabloXtreme | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 548d | IgorMyst | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $2,096 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 548d | IgorMyst | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 551d | Lysren | Conservative Party | SellNo33¢ → 0¢ | $9,326 | +$9,326 +100% | — |
| 551d | Lysren | Conservative Party | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $9,439 | −$9,439 −100% | 17 |
| 553d | havingababy | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 553d | havingababy | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 553d | agrest2 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,004 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 553d | starting5 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,010 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 553d | realcoin5 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,015 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 553d | pushpull5 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,030 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 553d | addiotion4 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,024 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 557d |  RauchmelderAus | Conservative Party | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$551 +37% | 10 |
| 557d | iverson-970 | People's Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,507 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 558d | iverson-970 | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,508 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 558d | Tyrvian | Liberal Party | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $5,793 | +$5,793 +100% | — |
| 558d | Krysolis | Liberal Party | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $16,266 | +$6,016 +37% | 10 |
| 558d | Tyrvian | Conservative Party | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $6,431 | +$6,431 +100% | — |
| 558d | Tyrvian | Conservative Party | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $6,630 | −$6,630 −100% | 17 |
| 559d | Brixen | Liberal Party | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $8,095 | +$8,095 +100% | — |
| 559d | Vexlir | Liberal Party | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $23,038 | +$8,095 +35% | 10 |
| 560d | owenby | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,796 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 560d | Fyrendell | Conservative Party | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $8,235 | +$8,235 +100% | — |
| 560d | owenby | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 560d | Eryndor | Conservative Party | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $21,176 | +$8,235 +39% | 10 |
| 560d | rossiter | Green Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,337 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 561d | rossiter | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 561d | DejanX2 fills | People's Party | SellNo>99¢ | $2,874 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
JonasHarrod1 sharesThis is a market on predicting which political party will secure the second most seats in the upcoming Canadian election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Conservative Party means the market gives it about 100%.