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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party | 100% | +1 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conservative Party | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bloc Québécois | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Democratic Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| People's Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d | refrain | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $2,664 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | FoldingNuts272 | Liberal Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,955 | +$22 +0.1% | 10 |
| 535d | MAGA.MUSK | Liberal Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,948 | +$30 +0.1% | 10 |
| 535d | rwo | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,116 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 535d |  scottilicious2 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $58,584 | −$174 −0.3% | — |
| 535d | burrito338 | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $32,439 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 535d |  ScamWick5 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,609 | +$325 +1.6% | 10 |
| 535d |  studmuffin69692 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $6,533 | −$1,547 −24% | — |
| 535d |  beibeidabest3 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,560 | +$76 +0.2% | 10 |
| 535d | burrito338 | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $48,072 | −$145 −0.3% | — |
| 535d |  xoxoxololxo | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $4,220 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 535d | Glev | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,772 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 535d | Greensky123 | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $7,773 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 535d |  AVAAL | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,147 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 536d | rollothomasi | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 536d | ericthestorm | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,823 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 536d | Heldenkampf | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,991 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 536d |  VasyaPupkin | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $6,349 | −$25 −0.4% | — |
| 536d |  Sardinianshepherd | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,295 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 536d | fake4sian | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,407 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 536d |  ShatteredHalo | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $3,005 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 536d | Nomoohyunisgoat | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $4,964 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 536d | Abadtaste | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,472 | −$165 −0.9% | — |
| 536d | scottilicious | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $6,534 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 536d | 0xae363845352952CDEa784F581E9EE99a219c8Fb2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,812 | +$62 +1.6% | 10 |
| 536d | affs20791 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,951 | −$49 −1.0% | — |
| 536d | Erang10 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,935 | −$30 −0.8% | — |
| 536d | Erang10 | Conservative Party | SellNo100¢ | $3,985 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 536d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Liberal Party | SellYes100¢ | $1,804 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 536d | tsekinming012 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,417 | −$288 −1.1% | — |
| 536d | smoltrader | Liberal Party | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,468 | +$53 +2.1% | 10 |
| 536d | keikeikei | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,126 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 536d |  TheNoobBeaver | Liberal Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,195 | −$98 −3.1% | — |
| 536d | wn3kd9f024 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,977 | −$358 −5.1% | — |
| 536d | tuna-mayo2 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $10,063 | −$1,404 −14% | — |
| 536d | tsekinming014 fills | Conservative Party | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $35,284 | −$8,360 −24% | — |
| 536d | jconfusedpinetree | Liberal Party | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,477 | −$158 −1.9% | — |
| 536d | kenkan88 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 536d |  syncope | Liberal Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | +$23 +1.0% | 10 |
| 536d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Liberal Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 536d | syncope | Conservative Party | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,111 | +$32 +0.6% | 10 |
| 536d | lijialijia20202 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $81,116 | −$884 −1.1% | — |
| 536d |  Flipadelphia9 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $88,384 | +$8,439 +9.5% | 10 |
| 536d |  Malllory2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,196 | +$104 +0.9% | 10 |
| 536d |  debased22 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $49,797 | +$15,243 +31% | 10 |
| 536d | Liquidifier | Liberal Party | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,303 | +$688 +21% | 10 |
| 536d | Liquidifier | Conservative Party | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,236 | +$868 +20% | 10 |
| 536d | cnfiguridofjnfke7 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $56,508 | +$10,487 +19% | 10 |
| 536d | Liquidifier | Liberal Party | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $3,390 | +$3,390 +100% | — |
| 536d | Johnbonjovi4887 | Liberal Party | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,141 | +$1,141 +100% | — |
| 536d | Liquidifier | Liberal Party | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,274 | −$1,274 −100% | 11 |
| 536d |  sigh | Liberal Party | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,324 | +$1,324 +100% | — |
| 536d | iamgone | Liberal Party | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,761 | +$1,761 +100% | — |
| 536d | ABM | Liberal Party | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,885 | +$1,885 +100% | — |
| 536d | Kapii | Liberal Party | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$632 −41% | — |
| 536d | UnrealBanana5 fills | Liberal Party | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $6,481 | −$6,481 −100% | 23 |
| 536d | SaylorMoon | Conservative Party | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $3,302 | −$3,302 −100% | 17 |
| 536d | slight- | Liberal Party | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $9,750 | −$9,750 −100% | 23 |
| 536d | OnTheLine3 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $4,324 | −$4,324 −100% | 18 |
| 536d |  nnimrodd8 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $18,092 | +$5,163 +29% | 10 |
StevenWilsonK30 sharesThis is a market on predicting which political party will secure the most seats in the upcoming Canadian election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liberal Party means the market gives it about 100%.