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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Grégoire | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rachida Dati | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre-Yves Bournazel | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Belliard | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sophia Chikirou | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thierry Mariani | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sarah Knafo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209d | OLOTH | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,973 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 212d | Palace8709 | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | SellNo>99¢ | $1,200 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 212d | bathenay5 | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,815 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 212d | Trustinghorse | Sarah Knafo | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,386 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 212d | Palace8709 | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,000 | +$35 +0.3% | 10 |
| 213d | TheCheatCode | Sarah Knafo | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,458 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 213d | mocamoca | Sarah Knafo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,123 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 213d |  Bouplai | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,965 | +$35 +0.7% | 10 |
| 213d |  Jydyjyd | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,793 | +$42 +1.1% | 10 |
| 213d | PillYverse2 fills | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,708 | +$32 +1.2% | 10 |
| 213d |  Hamapo | Sarah Knafo | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | −$29 −1.0% | — |
| 214d | basypteo | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | +$181 +10% | 10 |
| 214d | TelMorie2 fills | Sarah Knafo | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,011 | +$184 +3.1% | 10 |
| 214d |  devoteeOfBeshaba2 fills | Sarah Knafo | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,476 | +$32 +0.4% | 10 |
| 214d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Sarah Knafo | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $3,283 | +$1,719 +52% | 20 |
| 214d |  nicoco892 fills | Sarah Knafo | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,587 | +$777 +14% | 10 |
| 214d | TelMorie | Sarah Knafo | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,788 | −$212 −12% | — |
| 214d | StudentMoney4 fills | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $9,518 | +$951 +10.0% | 10 |
| 214d | Nihaww | Sarah Knafo | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 10 |
| 214d | CiaoBilly | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,655 | −$145 −1.5% | — |
| 214d | Hamapo | Sarah Knafo | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,642 | +$1,442 +88% | 10 |
| 214d | Eizzjfzjzpoa893494321 | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$30 +2.4% | 10 |
| 214d | Kazan2 | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,584 | −$65 −1.0% | — |
| 214d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,768 | +$56 +0.8% | 10 |
| 214d |  scottilicious | Sarah Knafo | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 10 |
| 214d | TheCheatCode3 fills | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,106 | +$821 +16% | 10 |
| 214d | TheCheatCode | Sophia Chikirou | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 10 |
| 215d | StudentMoney | Sarah Knafo | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,290 | +$1,290 +100% | — |
| 215d | DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,887 | −$616 −16% | — |
| 215d | nicoco89 | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$114 −8.1% | — |
| 215d | nicoco892 fills | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,229 | +$521 +23% | 10 |
| 215d | michou55 | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $14,000 | −$14,000 −100% | 10 |
| 215d | kdg-bbx | Sophia Chikirou | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$276 +22% | 10 |
| 215d | Abdoulay | Rachida Dati | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 216d | Kazan2 | Pierre-Yves Bournazel | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$1,013 +101% | 10 |
| 216d | vinunited | Rachida Dati | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,720 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 216d | OLOTH | Rachida Dati | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,177 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 216d | OLOTH | Thierry Mariani | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 216d | Humongous-Burnout | Sarah Knafo | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 16 |
| 216d | OLOTH | David Belliard | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 217d |  SolanaArmy | Sophia Chikirou | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,215 | +$1,215 +100% | — |
| 217d | SolanaArmy2 fills | Sophia Chikirou | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $3,078 | −$3,078 −100% | 16 |
| 217d | QMG-CORE | Emmanuel Grégoire | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,673 | +$27 +1.0% | 10 |
bjprolo100 shares
Cocochallenge69 sharesMunicipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Emmanuel Grégoire means the market gives it about 100%.