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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J.D. Vance | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erika Kirk | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | −22 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | −9 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | −43 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justin Bieber | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | −24 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavin Newsom | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tom Brady | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sam Altman | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −26 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barron Trump | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Livvy Dunne | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| LeBron James | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicki Minaj | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul George | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill Belichick | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Djo | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250d | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,232 | +$23 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 250d | J.D. Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,944 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 250d | J.D. Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 250d | Trustinghorse3 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $10,969 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 250d | J.D. Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,171 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | J.D. Vance | SellNo>99¢ | $2,575 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 250d | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$3 −0.3% | — | |
| 250d | Ordon | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $7,159 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 250d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,823 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 250d | notawinner99 | Donald Trump | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 250d | luigi | J.D. Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 250d | Lidongo | Tom Brady | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,237 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 250d | BobbyB | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,557 | +$33 +2.1% | 4 |
| 250d | J.D. Vance | SellNo>99¢ | $1,764 | −$5 −0.3% | — | |
| 250d | J.D. Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Lionel Messi | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,335 | +$412 +18% | 4 |
| 251d | yee1232 fills | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,953 | +$1,085 +16% | 4 |
| 251d | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,607 | +$342 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 251d | Trustinghorse | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,857 | +$206 +1.4% | 4 |
| 251d | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,204 | +$123 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 253d | J.D. Vance | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,416 | +$89 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 258d | Erika Kirk | SellNo35¢ → 100¢ | $3,289 | −$6,047 −184% | — | |
| 258d | Erika Kirk | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,121 | +$715 +7.8% | 4 | |
| 258d | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo11¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$10,545 −849% | — | |
| 258d | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,663 | +$1,124 +11% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Pro Football Championship, currently scheduled for February 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the Pro Football Championship is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 0%.