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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −76 pts | — | <1¢ · 20¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Jake Paul | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Sandler | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alicia Keys | 0% | +1 pts | −22 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| MrBeast | 0% | −3 pts | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Drake | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sydney Sweeney | 0% | −2 pts | — | 1¢ · 17¢ (16¢) | — | ended |
| Lady Gaga | 0% | +3 pts | +2 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | ended |
| Gregg Popovich | 0% | +7 pts | −34 pts | <1¢ · 14¢ (14¢) | — | ended |
| Chris Rock | 0% | −24 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Selena Gomez | 0% | +2 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Larry David | 0% | +2 pts | +2 pts | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Samuel L. Jackson | 0% | +5 pts | −17 pts | <1¢ · 10¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| Jimmy Fallon | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Matthew McConaughey | 0% | −40 pts | −40 pts | <1¢ · 20¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Jon Stewart | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anne Hathaway | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Will Hasbulla attend UFC Freedom 250? | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Travis Scott | 0% | −25 pts | −48 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael J. Fox | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Carell | 0% | −6 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carmelo Anthony | 0% | −46 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eli Manning | 0% | −34 pts | −16 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Brady | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Timothee Chalamet | 0% | −4 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cam Skattebo | 0% | −45 pts | −56 pts | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124d | QuadrupleDouble | Lionel Messi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 124d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | Lionel Messi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 124d | RalmQcvtBear5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,302 | −$43 −0.3% | — |
| 124d | RalmQcvtBear6 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,578 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | Meek-Handmaiden5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,312 | −$40 −0.3% | — |
| 124d | Meek-Handmaiden6 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,745 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | uqietmID7Cat5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,367 | −$36 −0.2% | — |
| 124d | uqietmID7Cat7 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,642 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | proulSrweOwd6 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,666 | −$37 −0.2% | — |
| 124d | proulSrweOwd5 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,672 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | Scornful-Equation6 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,617 | −$41 −0.3% | — |
| 124d | Scornful-Equation10 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,627 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | lcukydzadLynx5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,093 | −$33 −0.2% | — |
| 124d | lcukydzadLynx5 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,884 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | keenK0zlDeer5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,447 | −$44 −0.3% | — |
| 124d | keenK0zlDeer7 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,665 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | Dependable-Schooner4 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $14,093 | −$37 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | Dependable-Schooner9 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,511 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | Jumbo-Kiss5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,060 | −$38 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | Jumbo-Kiss5 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,492 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | cgeverCLGeTiler6 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,849 | −$46 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | cgeverCLGeTiler3 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,863 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | keenri7lOwC4 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $12,727 | −$33 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | keenri7lOwC7 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,643 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | kee5eE3nLynx5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,283 | −$39 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | kee5eE3nLynx7 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,561 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | wisaeGGbDeer4 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $14,342 | −$39 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | wisaeGGbDeer8 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,548 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | High-Level-Comprehension5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,327 | −$37 −0.2% | — |
| 125d | High-Level-Comprehension4 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,602 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | Difficult-Volunteering5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,761 | −$43 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | Difficult-Volunteering8 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,772 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | Lawful-Proliferation4 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $13,966 | −$36 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | Lawful-Proliferation8 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,601 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | l3ckyozu9Owl4 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $14,292 | −$31 −0.2% | — |
| 125d | l3ckyozu9Owl6 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,897 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | White-Grandfather-Barrage6 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,751 | −$39 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | White-Grandfather-Barrage10 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,758 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | pDoudiQxsreer5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,200 | −$40 −0.3% | — |
| 125d | pDoudiQxsreer8 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,883 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 125d | quick2OiNT2ger5 fills | Lionel Messi | SellNo>99¢ | $15,091 | −$37 −0.2% | — |
| 125d | quick2OiNT2ger6 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,522 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
Lavincey32 sharesThe UFC Freedom 250 event is scheduled to occur on June 14, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends UFC Freedom 250. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lionel Messi means the market gives it about 0%.