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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Phillipson | 100% | +47 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Rachel Reeves | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Yvette Cooper | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Catherine West | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Jess Phillips | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Heidi Alexander | 100% | +4 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Wes Streeting | 100% | +11 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Angela Rayner | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Lisa Nandy | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Ed Miliband | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| James Murray | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Alan Campbell | 100% | +72 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Dan Jarvis | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Jo Stevens | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Darren Jones | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Liz Kendall | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 100% | +8 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| David Lammy | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Louise Haigh | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Patrick Vallance | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| John Healey | 100% | +29 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Peter Kyle | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | in 75d |
| Shabana Mahmood | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Gary Stevenson | 0% | — | — | — · 3¢ | — | in 75d |
| Jacqui Smith | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Hilary Benn | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Ian Murray | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Steve Reed | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Pat McFadden | 100% | +28 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79d | 0x2CA | Catherine West | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d | 0x2CA | James Murray | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d |  QuarterlyComeback | Jess Phillips | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$48 +1.6% | 4 |
| 88d |  memetal | Bridget Phillipson | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,999 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | MALAY99 | Heidi Alexander | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,525 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 88d |  Hakei. | Alan Campbell | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$26 +2.1% | 4 |
| 88d | MALAY993 fills | Bridget Phillipson | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,950 | +$39 +0.3% | 4 |
| 88d | MALAY99 | Lisa Nandy | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,599 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | MALAY99 | Wes Streeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 88d | MALAY99 | Angela Rayner | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,066 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | MALAY99 | Yvette Cooper | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,111 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | MALAY99 | Ed Miliband | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,240 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | MALAY99 | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,541 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
J2552550 shares
silverstud15 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bridget Phillipson means the market gives it about 100%.