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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No CEO announced in 2025 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tom Zhu | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zach Kirkhorn | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drew Baglino | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Omead Afshar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JB Straubel | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Herbert Diess | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mary Barra | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jim Farley | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lisa Su | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andy Jassy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gwynne Shotwell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Li Bin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Li | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| He Xiaopeng | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lei Jun | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dara Khosrowshahi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dmitri Dolgov | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tekedra Mawakana | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person B | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person C | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person D | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person F | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person G | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person H | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person I | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person J | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person K | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person L | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person M | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person N | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person O | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person P | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | No CEO announced in 2025 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,978 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 296d | Another-Allowance | No CEO announced in 2025 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,023 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 299d | kekw | No CEO announced in 2025 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 311d | jnhbtgvrfcnumymt | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,320 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 311d | uhbnuyjbhtgvfr | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 311d | vctbvgtcfr | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,280 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 313d | ybvrcrrtbvtr | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 313d | gtrghrtb | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 313d | ybybytbrt | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 313d | tyyyvrt | Tom Zhu | SellNo>99¢ | $1,287 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 313d | tyyyvrt | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 313d | tvrcybvr | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 313d | fgggggtbvgbfvds | Tom Zhu | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 313d | fgggggtbv | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 313d | fgggggtbvbgfv | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,320 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 313d | fgggggtbvgbfvds | Tom Zhu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 323d | f2hf84hg52h5 | No CEO announced in 2025 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,035 | +$60 +2.0% | 20 |
| 327d | ntdh1 | No CEO announced in 2025 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$22 −2.2% | — |
| 331d | 7b6g5v54HGUYFY | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,060 | −$23 −1.1% | — |
| 331d | hgjhGIUG878ghjgi | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | −$22 −1.1% | — |
| 331d | KJHGiu98y98Yiujhgj | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,126 | −$24 −1.1% | — |
| 331d | 7b6g5v54HGUYFY | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,060 | +$23 +1.1% | 20 |
| 331d | hgjhGIUG878ghjgi | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 331d | KJHGiu98y98Yiujhgj | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,126 | +$24 +1.1% | 20 |
| 331d | uiG89y9YTIjHG | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 332d | sdrjhsdfgsa3467 | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 332d | srethsthr76 | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,837 | −$17 −0.9% | — |
| 332d | sdrjhsdfgsa3467 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | +$14 +0.8% | 20 |
| 332d | srethsthr76 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,839 | +$15 +0.8% | 20 |
| 332d | searhgsdfgaew321 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,827 | +$13 +0.7% | 20 |
| 332d | yujfydhfg5376 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,788 | +$13 +0.7% | 20 |
| 334d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No CEO announced in 2025 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | −$56 −3.4% | — |
| 337d | sanxiongdi | JB Straubel | SellNo>99¢ | $1,010 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 337d | sanxiongdi | JB Straubel | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 337d | Stevecrbird | Gwynne Shotwell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,045 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 337d | Stevecrbird | He Xiaopeng | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 338d | supguy | Zach Kirkhorn | SellNo>99¢ | $1,454 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 338d | mcqva1nrp05p | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 338d | mfftpnabycz9 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 338d | jlqesez8opy6 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,505 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 338d | kmnrs4nao06d | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | +$36 +1.0% | 20 |
| 339d |  qzong | No CEO announced in 2025 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | −$64 −3.8% | — |
| 339d | watere | Dmitri Dolgov | SellNo>99¢ | $1,321 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | watere | Li Bin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | watere | Lisa Su | SellNo>99¢ | $2,527 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | vkwwpmiy6zpb | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,429 | +$31 +0.9% | 20 |
| 339d | cfggtz8tg12j | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,429 | +$31 +0.9% | 20 |
| 339d | cflkhfj09sfx | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,521 | +$39 +1.1% | 20 |
| 339d | ehmfxcdmhaj5 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | +$39 +1.1% | 20 |
| 339d | mutejfq7ppwj1 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,518 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 339d | tgtrhzjg1vc5 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,516 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 339d | uaaqkoqbf92e | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,503 | +$43 +1.2% | 20 |
| 339d | ttnxp25ouzxm1 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,501 | +$43 +1.2% | 20 |
| 339d | novqb7nu3fgq | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,502 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 339d | badofyv3a5tn | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 339d | fsadfafd9uy | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,509 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 339d | jcgbny8bc566 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,506 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 339d | fgjhfyugh432 | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 339d | stsgdfdscfr564 | Tom Zhu | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 339d | fgjhfyugh432 | Tom Zhu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
00000000AAAAAAAA5,125 sharesThis market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Elon Musk as CEO of Tesla by February 28, 2026. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla. The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No CEO announced in 2025 means the market gives it about 100%.