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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Biden | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michelle Obama | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jill Biden | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| George Clooney | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Charli XCX | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Clinton | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Sean O' Brien | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nancy Pelosi | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Cuban | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lebron James | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry David | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 785d |  elmcap2 | Sean O' Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,890 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 785d | elmcap2 | Mark Cuban | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 785d | elmcap22 fills | Charli XCX | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,620 | +$284 +2.1% | 4 |
| 785d | elmcap24 fills | Taylor Swift | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $34,310 | +$1,090 +3.2% | 5 |
| 785d | elmcap2 | Lebron James | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,134 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 785d | PM777 | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 4 |
| 785d |  TimeQuestion | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 785d | bluejay | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 786d | Isaak👴2 fills | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,689 | +$157 +4.3% | 5 |
| 786d |  RewardsPeasant | Taylor Swift | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,643 | +$294 +11% | 4 |
| 786d | RewardsPeasant | Lebron James | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,142 | +$238 +11% | 4 |
| 787d |  MLBksRETARD | Nancy Pelosi | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,903 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 787d | erik50 | Taylor Swift | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,021 | +$93 +3.1% | 5 |
| 787d | elmcap2 | George Clooney | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$100 +1.0% | 4 |
| 787d |  horatio | Taylor Swift | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$44 +3.1% | 5 |
| 787d | Lfg1232 fills | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,222 | +$238 +4.6% | 5 |
| 787d | JonJonesMMA | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$132 +4.4% | 5 |
| 787d | 5TudorDivers | Hunter Biden | SellNo>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 787d | CSunu.B | Nancy Pelosi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,223 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 787d | MLBksRETARD | Michelle Obama | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,255 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 787d | professorx | Bernie Sanders | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,259 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 788d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Sean O' Brien | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,993 | +$417 +3.2% | 4 |
| 788d |  AgricultureSecretary | Michelle Obama | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,748 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 788d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Bill Clinton | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,261 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 788d | DunkBruntley | Charli XCX | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,838 | +$201 +2.0% | 4 |
| 788d | Ineedhole | Taylor Swift | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | −$103 −7.4% | — |
| 788d |  Erasmus. | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 5 |
| 788d |  scottilicious3 fills | George Clooney | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,591 | +$209 +1.7% | 4 |
| 788d | professorx | Jill Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,040 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 788d | Lfg123 | Jill Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 788d |  LBZcapital | Jill Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,514 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 788d |  Wallonie4Congress | Jill Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $2,380 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 788d | kingfisher | Taylor Swift | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$84 +4.2% | 5 |
| 789d | Just | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,387 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 789d | Lfg123 | Michelle Obama | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 789d | ImJustKen | Taylor Swift | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$112 +8.7% | 5 |
| 789d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Jill Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,059 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 789d | Ineedhole | Taylor Swift | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 6 |
| 789d |  456ythgbvcadscvb2 fills | Jill Biden | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,945 | +$55 +0.7% | 4 |
| 789d |  ANudeEgg | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,288 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 789d | OPMSucks | Jill Biden | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$20 −1.7% | — |
| 789d | Cbarbhwux | Bernie Sanders | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$21 +1.2% | 4 |
| 789d | ferengi | Jill Biden | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$13 +0.8% | 4 |
| 789d | OPMSucks | Michelle Obama | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | −$26 −1.3% | — |
| 789d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | Nancy Pelosi | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$19 +1.7% | 4 |
| 789d | scottilicious2 fills | Hunter Biden | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,958 | +$74 +1.2% | 4 |
| 789d | Dubs.eth | Michelle Obama | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 789d | ANudeEgg2 fills | Taylor Swift | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,097 | +$234 +11% | 5 |
| 789d | elmcap2 | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $49,592 | +$501 +1.0% | 4 |
| 789d | scottilicious8 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $41,872 | +$428 +1.0% | 4 |
| 789d |  TheCoconut2 fills | Michelle Obama | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,091 | −$47 −1.2% | — |
| 789d | Wiggly-Sign | Michelle Obama | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 790d |  mr.ozi | Jill Biden | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 790d | CoolBetguy2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,075 | +$56 +1.1% | 4 |
| 790d | JonJonesMMA | Jill Biden | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$61 +2.0% | 4 |
| 790d | Wallonie4Congress | Jill Biden | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$27 +2.0% | 4 |
| 790d | StoofyPreve | Michelle Obama | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,954 | +$46 +1.2% | 4 |
| 790d | Cbarbhwux | Nancy Pelosi | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,669 | +$115 +4.3% | 4 |
| 790d | mr.ozi2 fills | Michelle Obama | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$494 +17% | 5 |
| 790d | SlavaUkraini | Michelle Obama | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$28 +2.0% | 4 |
This is a market group over who which people will speak at the Democratic National Convention (DNC) in 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Hunter Biden means the market gives it about 0%.