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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allah | 100% | +89 pts | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Delcy Rodriguez | 0% | −31 pts | −21 pts | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | −2 pts | −31 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Gianni Infantino | 100% | +19 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Weijia Jiang | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 100% | +79 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Susan Dell | 0% | −5 pts | −39 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Dana White | 100% | +8 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brett Kavanaugh | 100% | +34 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | +5 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zohran Mamdani | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pelé | 0% | −2 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 0% | −5 pts | −23 pts | — · 15¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Rutte | 100% | +1 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +61 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud | 100% | +70 pts | +63 pts | 93¢ · 100¢ (7¢) | — | ended |
| Sheikh Tamim al-Thani | 100% | +30 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | −2 pts | −18 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107d | Delcy Rodriguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,918 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 108d | Nostrafakus | Delcy Rodriguez | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,712 | +$151 +8.8% | 4 |
| 122d | thcdmz | Dana White | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,148 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 129d | Trustinghorse | Allah | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,265 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 129d | Allah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,564 | −$145 −1.5% | — | |
| 129d | Shocked-Prospect | Allah | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,925 | +$153 +5.2% | 4 |
| 129d | Allah | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $12,554 | +$1,566 +12% | 4 | |
| 129d | Allah | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$3,760 +150% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Allah means the market gives it about 100%.