Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 100% | +58 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 100% | — | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roger Penske | 100% | +32 pts | +30 pts | 92¢ · 100¢ (8¢) | — | ended |
| Andy Burnham | 100% | +9 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Rutte | 0% | −40 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dana White | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kevin Warsh | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Warren Buffett | 0% | −12 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | −18 pts | −30 pts | — · 21¢ | — | ended |
| Javier Milei | 100% | +72 pts | +68 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Byron Donalds | 100% | +24 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicki Minaj | 0% | +1 pts | +4 pts | — · 48¢ | — | ended |
| Jon Rahm | 0% | −52 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Doug Ford | 0% | −43 pts | −42 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 0% | −37 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Delcy Rodriguez | 100% | +50 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gianni Infantino | 100% | +43 pts | +36 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | −1 pts | +12 pts | — · 98¢ | — | ended |
| Zohran Mamdani | 100% | +4 pts | +44 pts | 88¢ · 100¢ (12¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | −37 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e24 fills | Bryson DeChambeau | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,197 | +$48 +0.2% | 4 |
| 45d | Bryson DeChambeau | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$10 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 46d | Bryson DeChambeau | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$91 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 46d | Taut-Witness-Scraper | Bryson DeChambeau | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$82 +6.7% | 4 |
| 46d | 5555five | Bryson DeChambeau | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$662 +35% | 4 |
| 46d | Bryson DeChambeau | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,680 | −$2,680 −100% | 4 | |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,642 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 48d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e23 fills | Xi Jinping | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,028 | +$267 +3.8% | 5 |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | −$74 −3.0% | — | |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | −$111 −6.4% | — | |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $6,348 | +$2,839 +45% | 9 | |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,926 | +$362 +12% | 6 | |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,554 | +$1,241 +27% | 8 | |
| 48d | 0x955c…990f6 fills | Xi Jinping | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $7,596 | +$4,398 +58% | 9 |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 9 | |
| 48d | Xi Jinping | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,879 | +$706 +25% | 7 | |
| 64d | Fearless-Rear-Chitchat | Andy Burnham | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 71d | Arman2 | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 |
| 74d | Xi Jinping | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$558 +37% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Xi Jinping means the market gives it about 100%.