| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,300 | 38¢ → 16¢ | $356 | −$513 −59% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 4¢ → 65¢ | $131 | +$122 +1422% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 13¢ → 89¢ | $89 | +$76 +581% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 100 | 9¢ → 22¢ | $22 | +$13 +139% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 100 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$3 −36% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$2 −36% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $3 | +$1 +78% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 39m | Yes | 139 | 45¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$62 −99% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $0 | −$0 −23% |
| Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 368 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,300 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$286 −100% |
| Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $5.0B and $5.5B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 330 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 259 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 503 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 900 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$86 −100% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 900 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 696 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 450 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,300 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 668 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,200 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,973 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 519 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 620 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 34 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Argentina | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 850 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$485 −100% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 575 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$256 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 410 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 169 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 154 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,300 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$223 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 530 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Lakers vs. ThunderSettled - ready to redeem | Lakers | 400 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
