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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Paxton | 100% | +3 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| John Cornyn | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dawn Buckingham | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beth Van Duyne | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley Hunt | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143d | exitliq232 | Ken Paxton | SellYes>99¢ | $6,244 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 143d |  Gleaming-Pear | John Cornyn | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,288 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 143d |  Bperil | Ken Paxton | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 143d |  HorribleWork | Ken Paxton | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,982 | +$19 +0.1% | 10 |
| 143d | MMIWW | Ken Paxton | SellYes>99¢ | $1,339 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 143d |  DuneMentat | Ken Paxton | BuyYes100¢ | $1,451 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 143d | Kevindoto | Ken Paxton | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$15 +1.0% | 10 |
| 143d |  sorcerer.012 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,903 | +$205 +2.6% | 10 |
| 143d |  debased2 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $4,733 | +$2,494 +53% | 10 |
| 143d | influenz.eth | John Cornyn | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | +$35 +2.0% | 10 |
| 143d | neymar777 | John Cornyn | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$29 +2.0% | 10 |
| 143d |  mrworldwide2 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $26,576 | +$1,099 +4.1% | 11 |
| 143d |  456ythgbvcadscvb4 fills | John Cornyn | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $10,709 | +$14,510 +135% | 13 |
| 143d | DuneMentat2 fills | John Cornyn | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,892 | +$108 +2.8% | 10 |
| 143d | Tense-Hardcover | Ken Paxton | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,925 | +$89 +3.0% | 10 |
| 143d | QMTRADR2 fills | John Cornyn | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $2,353 | −$2,353 −100% | 17 |
| 143d | coshi | Ken Paxton | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$45 +3.0% | 10 |
| 143d | Bperil2 fills | Ken Paxton | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,093 | −$244 −4.0% | — |
| 143d |  WongKimArk | Ken Paxton | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,306 | +$79 +3.4% | 10 |
| 143d |  Da-Joker | Ken Paxton | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,542 | +$87 +3.4% | 10 |
| 143d | Occasionalbettor | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | +$75 +3.7% | 10 |
| 143d | 0xA4D9e3B72F6c18a | Ken Paxton | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | −$105 −4.4% | — |
| 143d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Ken Paxton | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $22,529 | −$810 −3.6% | — |
| 143d | ScottyNooo3 fills | John Cornyn | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,066 | −$455 −3.8% | — |
| 144d |  LadyLuck22 fills | Ken Paxton | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | −$269 −5.5% | — |
| 144d | 0x4c68…6162 | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$92 +3.7% | 10 |
| 144d | Scalpoor | John Cornyn | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$50 +4.2% | 10 |
| 144d |  VEQT2 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $25,340 | +$917 +3.6% | 10 |
| 144d | VEQT | John Cornyn | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,371 | +$364 +3.2% | 10 |
| 144d |  wish- | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$41 +4.1% | 10 |
| 144d | 123skdskd82235 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $26,453 | +$1,277 +4.8% | 10 |
| 144d | mrworldwide | Ken Paxton | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $17,354 | −$722 −4.2% | — |
| 144d | gh6y0omxinx8 | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$109 +3.6% | 10 |
| 144d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | John Cornyn | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,846 | +$115 +4.1% | 10 |
| 144d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$62 +4.4% | 10 |
| 144d | exitliq232 | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$251 +4.2% | 10 |
| 144d | jocpolitic | Ken Paxton | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $17,671 | −$794 −4.5% | — |
| 145d |  Mr.Kirk3 fills | Ken Paxton | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $16,372 | −$740 −4.5% | — |
| 145d | influenz.eth2 fills | Beth Van Duyne | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,916 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 145d | 0xb55c6dc1dafc7c30f48d617252ee75bcc5c540a32 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$492 +3.3% | 11 |
| 145d | Trump2028 | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$50 +4.2% | 11 |
| 145d |  Kickstand7 | John Cornyn | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,110 | −$142 −4.6% | — |
| 146d | resfeber | Ken Paxton | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | −$96 −4.2% | — |
| 146d | sorcerer.012 fills | John Cornyn | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,125 | +$307 +5.0% | 10 |
| 146d | Hoch | Ken Paxton | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$104 +4.2% | 11 |
| 146d | diadjaid2 fills | Ken Paxton | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $18,320 | −$1,680 −9.2% | — |
| 147d | benwyatt | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $17,646 | +$929 +5.3% | 11 |
| 147d |  finder16 | Ken Paxton | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | −$141 −6.4% | — |
| 147d | Aripi | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | +$111 +5.3% | 10 |
| 147d | Flipbandit | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$160 +5.3% | 10 |
| 147d | scottorhino | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$160 +5.3% | 10 |
| 147d | danypotter | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,035 | +$265 +5.3% | 10 |
| 147d | FastTrackFund | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,677 | +$141 +5.3% | 10 |
| 148d | BuddhaYTorrance | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,035 | +$265 +5.3% | 10 |
| 148d | FDTpuissance | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,035 | +$265 +5.3% | 10 |
| 148d |  Yirmeyahu2 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$198 +5.3% | 10 |
| 148d | SAPolitcsSeer | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,700 | +$300 +5.3% | 10 |
| 148d | Unhappy-Rule | Ken Paxton | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,317 | −$148 −6.4% | — |
| 148d |  Iax | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 10 |
| 148d | finder162 fills | Ken Paxton | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,237 | +$118 +5.3% | 10 |
Mikiya200 shares
whoasked1175 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ken Paxton means the market gives it about 100%.