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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Bond chosen | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| James Norton | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Mescal | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jacob Elordi | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris Dickinson | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Hardy | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierce Brosnan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Holland | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henry Cavill | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A woman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Callum Turner | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Lowdon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Theo James | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert James-Collier | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Josh O'Connor | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 16 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 17 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 18 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 20 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | blunderbot | No Bond chosen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | Caring-Employ-Espalier | Aaron Taylor-Johnson | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,461 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 108d |  aenews23 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $99,008 | +$1,327 +1.3% | 20 |
| 109d |  Mewtube | No Bond chosen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,071 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 109d |  Saltanas | No Bond chosen | SellYes>99¢ | $3,164 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 109d |  MrNoItAll | No Bond chosen | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,271 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 109d | 0x8931…a90c | Theo James | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,074 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 109d | 123987456 | Jack Lowdon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,387 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 110d | Saltanas2 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,033 | +$35 +1.2% | 20 |
| 110d | yan666 | No Bond chosen | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | −$20 −1.2% | — |
| 110d | anon.1980.123 | No Bond chosen | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,808 | +$192 +2.0% | 21 |
| 110d | bc7g | No Bond chosen | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 110d |  WordleAddict | No Bond chosen | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,097 | +$118 +5.6% | 21 |
| 110d | Webbed-Kingdom-Green2 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,085 | +$230 +7.4% | 21 |
| 110d | 0x93a9…0b882 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$54 +2.5% | 20 |
| 110d | manchot | No Bond chosen | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$64 +5.5% | 21 |
| 110d | mm4ker | No Bond chosen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$805 +8.0% | 21 |
| 110d |  yen4u2 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $5,178 | −$5,178 −100% | 37 |
| 110d |  ImJustKen8 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $36,679 | +$1,656 +4.5% | 20 |
| 110d | 0xzipper | No Bond chosen | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$116 −10% | — |
| 115d | 29425catalystmatrix | Henry Cavill | SellNo>99¢ | $1,150 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 115d | 29425catalystmatrix | Henry Cavill | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,101 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d | haraya2 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,424 | +$230 +9.5% | 20 |
| 128d | market567 | Paul Mescal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | 123bloom | Tom Hardy | SellNo>99¢ | $1,106 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 128d | 123bloom | Tom Hardy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | 2052krakenhelix | Paul Mescal | SellNo>99¢ | $1,045 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 128d | 2052krakenhelix | Paul Mescal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | lunarmomentum789 | Paul Mescal | SellNo>99¢ | $1,265 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 128d | lunarmomentum789 | Paul Mescal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,255 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 129d | nanotrust | Paul Mescal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 130d | protocol77 | Tom Hardy | SellNo>99¢ | $1,021 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 130d | pulse789 | Tom Hardy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | 33freedomfreedom | James Norton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,304 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 133d | 33freedomfreedom | James Norton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,271 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 143d | M2sx92kljs42 | No Bond chosen | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,930 | +$384 +13% | 20 |
| 148d |  shingoWAKAYAMA2 fills | No Bond chosen | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$560 +24% | 20 |
| 151d | UESSSE452 fills | Henry Cavill | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,702 | −$95 −2.0% | — |
| 152d | UESSSE45 | Paul Mescal | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,337 | −$55 −2.4% | — |
| 152d | UESSSE45 | Tom Hardy | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,822 | −$80 −2.1% | — |
| 152d | UESSSE45 | Jacob Elordi | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | −$75 −4.9% | — |
| 152d | UESSSE45 | Pierce Brosnan | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$17 −1.5% | — |
| 152d | UESSSE452 fills | James Norton | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,439 | −$105 −1.9% | — |
| 167d | LynxTitan | Callum Turner | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | −$333 −26% | — |
| 171d | ImJustKen | Henry Cavill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,619 | +$26 +1.0% | 20 |
| 171d | ImJustKen | Aaron Taylor-Johnson | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$43 +3.2% | 20 |
| 171d | ImJustKen2 fills | Jacob Elordi | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,031 | +$189 +6.2% | 20 |
| 179d | etrytryytyh | Paul Mescal | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 184d |  tetrase2 fills | Callum Turner | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $4,489 | +$1,656 +37% | 20 |
| 202d | shift89 | Paul Mescal | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$28 −2.7% | — |
| 202d | chesttt91 | Paul Mescal | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$27 −2.7% | — |
| 202d | party.raw.tilt | Paul Mescal | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$31 −2.5% | — |
| 202d | inform-similar | Paul Mescal | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$51 −4.4% | — |
| 202d | coil-dune | Jacob Elordi | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$71 −5.7% | — |
| 202d | Tomorrowoy36 | Jacob Elordi | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$67 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | raven-metal-scene | Jacob Elordi | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | +$84 +5.5% | 20 |
| 202d | Tomorrowoy36 | Jacob Elordi | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$67 +5.5% | 20 |
| 202d | impact7893 | Jacob Elordi | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | −$75 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | fatigue.vocal.lunar | Jacob Elordi | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$55 −5.5% | — |
| 203d | OrlandoParker | Robert James-Collier | SellNo>99¢ | $1,024 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
LewisLovesCleo30 sharesyen4u76,575 sharesThis is a market on who will be the next actor to play James Bond in the upcoming film series.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Bond chosen means the market gives it about 100%.