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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 564d |  Justitia | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,024 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 564d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,012 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 565d |  KimJonEn2 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,311 | +$22 +0.3% | 4 |
| 581d | Justitia2 fills | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,852 | +$60 +2.1% | 4 |
| 603d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$53 +5.2% | 4 |
BabyYoda121,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.