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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304d |  Red781RuM | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 310d |  sorcerer.09 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$21 +1.0% | 10 |
| 322d | Another-Allowance | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 353d |  tocr | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$106 −9.3% | — |
| 384d |  OneFinalStand9917 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$146 −14% | — |
| 428d | tocr2 fills | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | +$308 +12% | 10 |
| 437d | fartsniffer | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$139 −12% | — |
| 482d | AbrahamJefferson | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | −$194 −12% | — |
| 508d | AbrahamJefferson | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$313 +21% | 10 |
| 516d | Red781RuM2 fills | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$706 +33% | 10 |
| 521d |  SVPPB | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | +$1,256 +100% | — |
| 529d | Frayed-Acceptance | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,353 | +$1,353 +100% | — |
| 531d |  just.some.guy | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,619 | +$381 +24% | 10 |
| 532d | kwienz | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$432 +25% | 10 |
Degen_AI6 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.