Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Snoorrason2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,934 | +$70 +0.5% | 10 |
| 372d | Kevindoto | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,514 | +$177 +2.4% | 10 |
| 496d | Seik | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$85 −7.5% | — |
| 508d | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$72 −6.4% | — | |
| 512d | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,549 | +$289 +11% | 10 | |
| 523d | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,876 | −$124 −6.6% | — | |
| 527d | goingsocial | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | −$131 −5.3% | — |
| 530d | ChampaLiberation | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,544 | +$562 +12% | 10 |
| 530d | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,258 | −$155 −12% | — | |
| 530d | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$141 −11% | — | |
| 532d | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,894 | +$606 +12% | 10 | |
| 532d | kwienz | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | +$245 +13% | 10 |
| 533d | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$295 +19% | 10 | |
| 534d | Sikhinvestor2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,401 | −$974 −29% | — |
| 534d | Sikhinvestor | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,502 | +$873 +25% | 10 |
| 534d | simpleman | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | −$348 −21% | — |
| 535d | simpleman | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$606 +30% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.