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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 761d | Thumber2 fills | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,739 | +$281 +5.9% | 4 |
| 839d | Thumber3 fills | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,658 | −$320 −8.7% | — |
| 953d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $2,471 | −$2,471 −100% | 10 | |
| 958d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $2,180 | +$2,180 +100% | — | |
| 967d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,476 | −$507 −20% | — | |
| 971d | MickeyMouse | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$173 +16% | 4 |
| 978d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | +$432 +19% | 4 | |
| 978d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,917 | +$1,212 +20% | 4 | |
| 981d | tumadre | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$253 +20% | 4 |
| 991d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | −$458 −25% | — | |
| 993d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$360 −25% | — | |
| 994d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,531 | +$594 +23% | 4 | |
| 994d | Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,798 | −$1,360 −23% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender in 2024 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.