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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 788d | professorx2 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,898 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 788d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a3 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $10,587 | +$1,641 +15% | 4 |
| 788d | Hhkcg3 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,904 | +$107 +0.8% | 4 |
| 788d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,987 | −$58 −0.6% | — | |
| 789d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,820 | +$91 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 789d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,261 | +$232 +2.8% | 4 | |
| 789d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,986 | −$8 −0.4% | — | |
| 789d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,615 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 789d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 789d | Lfg1233 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,327 | +$185 +1.8% | 4 |
| 789d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,057 | +$19 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 789d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $40,953 | +$1,927 +4.7% | 4 | |
| 790d | bluejay2 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,154 | +$53 +1.0% | 4 |
| 790d | Isaak👴 | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$25 +1.6% | 4 |
| 791d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $44,531 | +$747 +1.7% | 4 | |
| 791d | KamalaPrezHolder3 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,877 | −$178 −1.8% | — |
| 791d | GigiPirri | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$18 +1.2% | 4 |
| 792d | sabato115 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $74,918 | +$2,173 +2.9% | 4 |
| 792d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | −$33 −2.4% | — | |
| 793d | Straight-Split | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$35 +1.9% | 4 |
| 793d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | −$100 −2.2% | — | |
| 793d | JohnAdams543212 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,754 | −$446 −2.2% | — |
| 795d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,284 | +$220 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 795d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,949 | −$51 −1.7% | — | |
| 795d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,617 | −$105 −2.9% | — | |
| 796d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,230 | −$328 −3.6% | — | |
| 796d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,752 | +$248 +3.2% | 4 | |
| 796d | Munners | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,377 | −$71 −3.0% | — |
| 796d | Breezy-Entrance | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,237 | +$378 +3.7% | 4 |
| 796d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,408 | +$93 +3.8% | 4 | |
| 798d | KamalaPrezHolder4 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,040 | +$301 +3.3% | 4 |
| 798d | lug | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,998 | +$289 +4.8% | 4 |
| 799d | Plutos | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,699 | +$191 +5.2% | 4 |
| 800d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,373 | −$627 −6.0% | — | |
| 800d | CUTNPASTE2 | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,821 | −$86 −4.7% | — |
| 800d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,854 | −$145 −5.1% | — | |
| 801d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,125 | −$375 −5.3% | — | |
| 802d | CUTNPASTE2 | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | +$73 +4.0% | 4 |
| 802d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$118 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 802d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,750 | −$686 −6.4% | — | |
| 803d | EasyMoney2025 | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$124 −6.4% | — |
| 803d | JohnAdams54321 | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,687 | +$457 +5.3% | 4 |
| 804d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$149 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 805d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,806 | +$454 +9.5% | 4 | |
| 805d | 0x55b539d555563684542552f146ead85ff6dcb451 | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$109 +7.5% | 4 |
| 808d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $16,182 | +$2,199 +14% | 4 | |
| 808d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$103 +9.9% | 4 | |
| 808d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | −$307 −14% | — | |
| 808d | Brondo | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$212 +18% | 4 |
| 809d | pkz | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$183 +18% | 4 |
| 809d | Munners3 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $9,753 | +$1,682 +17% | 4 |
| 811d | x®x2 fills | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $2,582 | −$2,582 −100% | 10 |
| 814d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,731 | +$1,012 +27% | 4 | |
| 814d | OPMSucks | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$219 +20% | 4 |
| 815d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $13,000 | +$3,021 +23% | 4 | |
| 816d | 0000x | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,498 | −$1,498 −100% | 5 |
| 816d | OMNI | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $3,319 | −$3,319 −100% | 4 |
| 816d | EasyMoney2025 | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | +$407 +26% | 4 |
| 817d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $9,210 | +$4,536 +49% | 4 | |
| 817d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$898 +61% | 4 |
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech in-person at the convention. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.