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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +9 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | allback | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $5,087 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | xcb7afh8h2 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $6,441 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  DWJK | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $4,935 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Flancho | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $2,651 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  niitoxyz | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $5,519 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  LUFFY77 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $2,271 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | yyzzrebirth | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $1,348 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Tallerhand | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $7,393 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | shengkun | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $4,011 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | joecai | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k>99¢ | $1,401 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k>99¢ | $3,764 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 258d | Flancho | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k>99¢ | $4,640 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 258d | Laurenman2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k99¢ → 100¢ | $2,552 | +$22 +0.9% | 2 |
| 258d | iamgone7 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k97¢ → 100¢ | $21,600 | +$579 +2.7% | 2 |
| 258d | joecai | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k98¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$25 +1.8% | 2 |
| 258d | yyzzrebirth | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k99¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 259d | larkspur5 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k88¢ → 100¢ | $61,018 | +$8,711 +14% | 2 |
| 259d | TonyChenn | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k97¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$102 +3.5% | 2 |
| 259d | xcb7afh8h22 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k95¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$272 +5.6% | 2 |
| 259d | xfinity2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k82¢ → 100¢ | $24,500 | +$5,423 +22% | 2 |
| 259d | 81813 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy150k20¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | −$8,000 −100% | 14 |
| 260d | shengkun | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k95¢ → 100¢ | $2,661 | +$140 +5.3% | 2 |
| 260d | Tallerhand2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k87¢ → 100¢ | $6,440 | +$960 +15% | 2 |
| 260d | LottoPlayer | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k90¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$288 +11% | 2 |
| 262d | Mammoth-Porcupine | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k79¢ → 100¢ | $10,193 | −$2,788 −27% | — |
| 262d | pabon | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k84¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$222 +19% | 2 |
| 267d | danmed | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k83¢ → 100¢ | $2,004 | +$396 +20% | 2 |
| 267d | Spanky.io | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k83¢ → 100¢ | $5,868 | +$1,203 +21% | 2 |
| 269d |  Occult4 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $7,267 | −$1,733 −24% | — |
| 269d | singaporesling2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k80¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | +$687 +24% | 2 |
| 269d | wttg | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy150k20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
| 270d | Min777 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k76¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$311 −31% | — |
| 271d | Min777 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k79¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$280 +27% | 2 |
| 271d | Mammoth-Porcupine | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k78¢ → 100¢ | $9,968 | +$2,883 +29% | 2 |
| 272d |  Erka-RoadTo1M2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $3,306 | −$755 −23% | — |
| 273d |  bankstar | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell150k23¢ → 0¢ | $1,064 | +$1,064 +100% | — |
| 276d |  Turtleiny | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k80¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | −$390 −24% | — |
| 281d | MPIL | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy150k19¢ → 0¢ | $2,368 | −$2,368 −100% | 7 |
| 282d | cyrus12345 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $7,472 | −$1,727 −23% | — |
| 284d | Unfolded-Domain | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy150k23¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 5 |
| 285d | zLen999 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k78¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | −$433 −28% | — |
| 285d |  mistald | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | −$570 −23% | — |
| 286d | kreere | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k84¢ → 100¢ | $5,996 | +$1,142 +19% | 2 |
| 288d | zuzuw | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k84¢ → 100¢ | $5,042 | −$958 −19% | — |
| 292d | s202 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k84¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$387 +19% | 2 |
| 292d | LIQUID8dCAP | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $3,273 | −$752 −23% | — |
| 294d | vchch2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k84¢ → 100¢ | $3,009 | +$577 +19% | 2 |
| 298d | weaksweak | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k83¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$275 +21% | 2 |
| 299d | MarcusLoc | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k80¢ → 100¢ | $5,101 | −$1,314 −26% | — |
| 301d | Tango22 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$261 −23% | — |
| 304d | donky2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $3,766 | −$866 −23% | — |
| 304d | charmando | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k84¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$202 +19% | 2 |
| 306d |  jinghong2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell150k10¢ → 0¢ | $2,564 | +$2,564 +100% | — |
| 309d | OrlandoB | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k83¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$213 +20% | 2 |
| 310d | donky3 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k78¢ → 100¢ | $6,712 | +$1,840 +27% | 2 |
| 312d | nelbal8486 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k81¢ → 100¢ | $2,199 | −$515 −23% | — |
| 313d | Occult2 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k83¢ → 100¢ | $5,142 | +$1,070 +21% | 2 |
| 313d | Erka-RoadTo1M3 fills | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Buy80k79¢ → 100¢ | $9,004 | +$2,325 +26% | 2 |
| 313d | brucemsx | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k67¢ → 100¢ | $9,833 | −$4,761 −48% | — |
| 319d | sweiss28 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | Sell80k79¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | −$329 −26% | — |
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.