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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 564d | gandalffromtheearth | Will ETH hard fork before April? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,260 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 565d | gandalffromtheearth | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,705 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 569d | commeowder3 fills | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,790 | +$263 +3.9% | 2 |
| 572d |  O3O.legacy.0 | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,355 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 583d |  PaeniscusKyu | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$25 +2.3% | 2 |
| 590d |  scout | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,085 | +$124 +5.9% | 2 |
| 591d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Will ETH hard fork before April? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$124 −7.5% | — |
| 592d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will ETH hard fork before April? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$37 −3.6% | — |
| 592d |  -nothingburger- | Will ETH hard fork before April? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$66 −5.0% | — |
| 595d | -nothingburger- | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$53 +4.2% | 2 |
| 596d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$58 +5.3% | 2 |
| 600d | fkuUMA | Will ETH hard fork before April? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$160 +15% | 2 |
| 600d | commeowder2 fills | Will ETH hard fork before April? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,857 | −$254 −8.9% | — |
BabyYoda12904 sharesIf an Ethereum hard fork occurs between February 20 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.