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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 15, 2026 | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 31, 2026 | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 14d |
| October 8, 2026 | 100% | +5 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | NotThatAttractedToGambling | October 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,153 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | NotThatAttractedToGambling | October 15, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,117 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
Dr.PNL231 shares
altaironmission152 shares
Silvervol58 shares
G24L857 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethos officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethos after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ethos (https://x.com/ethos_network), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 15, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.