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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 22% | −11 pts | −4 pts | 11¢ · 33¢ (22¢) | — | in 76d |
| December 31, 2027 | 83% | — | −3 pts | 82¢ · 83¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| September 30, 2027 | 81% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 74¢ · 87¢ (13¢) | — | in 349d |
| June 30, 2027 | 73% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 71¢ · 75¢ (4¢) | — | in 257d |
| March 31, 2027 | 56% | −3 pts | −6 pts | 43¢ · 68¢ (25¢) | — | in 166d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d |  Cloverince | Will Flop launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,086 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
Maxima130 shares
LeChatonFat20 shares
0xnapalm312 shares
sasha58599 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Flop officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Flop after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Flop (https://x.com/flop_labs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 22¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 22%.