| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Ends in 440d | No | 150 | 56¢ → 82¢ | $123 | +$39 +47% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 91 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $85 | +$5 +6.6% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 130 | 36¢ → 63¢ | $83 | +$36 +77% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 69 | 58¢ → 100¢ | $68 | +$28 +70% |
| Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?Ends in 95d | No | 63 | 94¢ → 89¢ | $55 | −$3 −5.8% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$9 +23% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 152 | 44¢ → 32¢ | $48 | −$20 −29% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 102 | 59¢ → 47¢ | $47 | −$13 −21% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 52¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$19 +74% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 57 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $44 | +$4 +9.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 35 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $34 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $33 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 40 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $32 | +$4 +13% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 100 | 41¢ → 32¢ | $32 | −$10 −23% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 37 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 262 | 23¢ → 12¢ | $30 | −$30 −50% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 66 | 61¢ → 44¢ | $29 | −$11 −28% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | Yes | 100 | 47¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$20 −41% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $26 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 26 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $25 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 54 | 56¢ → 46¢ | $25 | −$5 −18% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 28 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $24 | +$4 +22% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 26 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $24 | +$3 +17% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 27 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $23 | +$3 +17% |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 55 | 36¢ → 43¢ | $23 | +$3 +17% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 91 | 44¢ → 26¢ | $23 | −$17 −42% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 110 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $23 | −$6 −20% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 40 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $22 | −$2 −6.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.6% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 25 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 31 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $21 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$16 −44% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 24 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 21 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 22 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$13 +174% |
| Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 43¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$11 +124% |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 18d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$3 +20% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$4 +23% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 20 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$4 +25% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 39 | 51¢ → 45¢ | $17 | −$3 −13% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 20 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $17 | +$3 +25% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$5 +41% |
| Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$12 +244% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 19 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$3 +19% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$1 −5.4% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$8 +111% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Ends in 29d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 79¢ | $15 | +$6 +60% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $15 | −$3 −16% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 44¢ → 71¢ | $14 | +$5 +60% |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 17 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $14 | +$1 +11% |
| Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 471d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $14 | −$2 −10% |
| Clavicular in jail by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $14 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $14 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$2 −13% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Ends in 24d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$6 +81% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 48¢ → 33¢ | $13 | −$6 −33% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 18 | 56¢ → 68¢ | $12 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 61¢ | $12 | −$1 −9.7% |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 74d | No | 28 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $12 | −$2 −11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 59¢ | $12 | −$3 −18% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 58¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.2% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 36 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $11 | −$2 −17% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 39 | 51¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$9 −44% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 40 | 66¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$15 −58% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 11 | 70¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$3 +41% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 84d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$1 −9.3% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$2 −12% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 18 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 22 | 63¢ → 49¢ | $10 | −$3 −23% |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 58 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $10 | −$3 −21% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 47¢ → 52¢ | $10 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 52¢ | $10 | −$1 −9.6% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 50 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $10 | −$10 −50% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$2 −15% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 71¢ → 36¢ | $10 | −$10 −50% |
| Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 11 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$2 −16% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 36 | 21¢ → 27¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 30 | 40¢ → 33¢ | $10 | −$2 −18% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 49¢ | $10 | −$3 −24% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 49¢ | $10 | +$1 +13% |
