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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 1 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 14 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 2 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 7 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 4 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 3 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d |  ZhangMuZhi.. | March 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,594 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  MrNFT | March 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,435 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 230d | pelik | March 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,968 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  tetrase3 fills | March 2 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,689 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d | tetrase3 fills | March 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,776 | +$35 +0.5% | 20 |
| 230d | tetrase | March 14 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,360 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d | dwaynehindman29 | March 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 231d | pkz | March 14 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | +$56 +3.1% | 20 |
| 231d | cashy | March 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$26 +1.0% | 20 |
| 231d |  ProfitMuhammedPBUH2 fills | March 1 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $9,834 | +$1,241 +13% | 21 |
| 231d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 14 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,365 | +$822 +11% | 21 |
| 231d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 4 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | +$92 +5.1% | 20 |
| 231d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 2 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,802 | +$301 +11% | 21 |
| 231d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 7 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,481 | +$485 +14% | 21 |
ErenMusk12 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 1 means the market gives it about 100%.