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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197d | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,418 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 197d | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,697 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 198d | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,283 | +$57 +2.5% | 20 | |
| 199d | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,760 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 199d | qwe258 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 100%.