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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 544d |  MisTKy33 fills | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,181 | +$100 +3.1% | 20 |
| 546d | HLB-377 | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$65 −5.3% | — |
| 551d |  IamNotGood | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$97 +5.1% | 20 |
| 555d | enrico-vasaio2 fills | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,425 | +$386 +7.1% | 20 |
| 573d | JuniorB | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | +$113 +7.5% | 20 |
| 574d | Predictandbreathe | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$108 −9.1% | — |
| 587d | 321123 | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$560 +19% | 20 |
| 591d |  Treedud25 | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | −$252 −21% | — |
| 595d |  x1a | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,756 | +$754 +27% | 20 |
| 600d |  E.Hopper | Will Pope Francis step down before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$202 +14% | 20 |
chirone7,480 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pope Francis announces he has resigned or will resign the papacy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Pope Francis to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Pope Francis announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Pope Francis, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.